Match Info

Super League - Round 8

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Development Area Stadium (Changchun)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Changchun Yatai		Yunnan Yukun

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.4
	2.48	3.5	2.65	Watch
	2.57	3.6	2.75
	2.69	3.32	2.55	Watch
	2.62	3.4	2.4
	2.44	3.49	2.69	Watch
	2.48	3.5	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.47)	3.46 ↓ (3.47)	2.59 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Yatai
36.8%

Draw
27%

Yunnan Yukun
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.9%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

26.3%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Changchun Yatai - Yunnan Yukun Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Wu Yake (G) 2. Abdugheni Abduhamit 31. Sunzu S. 4. Rosic L. 21. Piao Taoyu 20. Xuan Z. 6. Zhang Huachen 10. Omoijuanfo O. 9. Beric R. 37. Zhao Yingjie 29. Tan Long	1. Ma Zhen (G) 4. Li Songyi 15. Martinez J. 18. Yi Teng 3. Tsui Wang-Kit 8. Ye Chugui 14. Nene 6. Zhao Yuhao 30. Saeter J. 9. Pedro H. 25. Taty Maritu O.
Substitutes
44. Fan Chao 17. He Yiran 18. JIng Boxi 33. Sun Guoliang 30. Sun Qinhan 11. Tian Yuda 3. Wang Yaopeng 19. Xu Yue 24. Yan Zhiyu 8. Yao Xuchen 7. Zhou Junchen 42. Zou Dehai (G)	19. Duan Dezhi 27. Han Zilong 21. Li B. 7. Luo Jing 5. Mawlanniyaz D. 13. Qiu Shengjun (G) 17. Sun Xuelong 23. Yin Congyao 24. Yu Jianxian (G) 26. Zhang Chenliang 16. Zhang Xiangshuo 20. Zhang Yufeng
Coaches
Xie Hui	Andersen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez J. ↓, Han Zilong ↑,
68', Tan Long 🟨,
70', Pedro H. ↓, Mawlanniyaz D. ↑,
70', Ye Chugui ↓, Luo Jing ↑,
74', Zhang Huachen ↓, Yao Xuchen ↑,
86', Zhao Yingjie ↓, He Yiran ↑,
87', Omoijuanfo O. ↓, Fan Chao ↑,
87', Piao Taoyu ↓, Xu Yue ↑,
88', Nene ↓, Yin Congyao ↑,
88', Saeter J. ↓, Li B. ↑,
89', Han Zilong 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 11).

Changchun Yatai is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Yunnan Yukun is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Yunnan Yukun have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League
15.04.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai	3:1 ✺
11.04.25	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Changchun Yatai - Shandong Taishan	1:2 ✺
02.04.25	Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Dalian Young Boy - Changchun Yatai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLTL
- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Super League
16.04.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Yunnan Yukun	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Yunnan Yukun	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Yunnan Yukun - Qingdao Hainiu	1:0 ✺
02.04.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Yunnan Yukun	3:1 ✺
28.03.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Yunnan Yukun	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TLWLW

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