Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 10

Date: 2 June 2025, Monday

Location: Arena Condá (Chapecó)

Referee: Muniz dos Santos D. C. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Chapecoense		Amazonas

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4.2
	1.85	3.35	4.4
	1.89	3.22	4.92
	1.85	3.3	4.5	Watch
	2	3.2	3.9
	1.84	3.42	4.46	Watch
	1.85	3.35	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.95)	3.29 ↑ (3.18)	4.41 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
50.2%

Draw
28.6%

Amazonas
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

29.3%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.8%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	7.7%	3.8%

Chapecoense - Amazonas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Amazonas (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Chapecoense will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chapecoense will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 6 - 75%). Amazonas (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Leo Vieira (G) 22. Mailton 3. Eduardo Doma 25. Victor Caetano 4. Joao Paulo 37. Clar W. 16. Bruno Matias 99. Rafael Carvalheira 10. Giovanni Augusto (C) 7. Marcinho 90. Mailson	1. Ze Carlos (G) 58. Thomas Luciano 30. Castrillon N. 3. Jackson 6. Fabiano (C) 2. Rafael Monteiro 77. Robertinho 22. Zabala D. 18. Cocote 29. Fernando Neto 9. Luan Silva
Substitutes
19. David Antunes 97. Dentinho 26. Everton 77. Italo 32. Jhonnathan 5. Jorge Jimenez 15. Kaique Maciel 6. Mancha 95. Marcinho 8. Marlon 1. Rafael Santos (G) 70. Rubens Ricoldi	17. Guilherme Xavier 91. Henrique Almeida 26. Kiko 27. Linares N. 33. Pedro Caracoci (G) 10. Rafael Tavares 12. Raimar 20. Torres J. 57. Vitao 4. Wellington Nascimento 19. William Barbio
Coaches
Gilmar Pozzo	Guilherme Alves

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Mailton ⚽, Marcinho (A),
27', 2 - 0, Rafael Carvalheira ⚽, Giovanni Augusto (A),
33', Rafael Monteiro 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cocote ↓, Torres J. ↑,
46', Rafael Monteiro ↓, Wellington Nascimento ↑,
51', Joao Paulo 🟨,
57', 3 - 0, Clar W. (Pen),
58', Zabala D. ↓, Rafael Tavares ↑,
58', Luan Silva ↓, Henrique Almeida ↑,
63', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
70', Fernando Neto ↓, Guilherme Xavier ↑,
71', Mailson ↓, Kaique Maciel ↑,
71', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
78', Mailton ↓, Dentinho ↑,
78', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, Marcinho ↑,
90+3', 4 - 0, Italo ⚽, Marcinho (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Chapecoense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Chapecoense might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Amazonas: Diego Borges (Inactive) Vasquez L. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person (Inactive)

There are questionable in Amazonas: Akapo C. (Inactive) Alyson (Inactive) Bruno Ramires (Inactive) Renan (Injury) Ze Gabriel (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Chapecoense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie B
24.05.25	Avaí - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Chapecoense - Cuiabá	2:1 ✺
08.05.25	Athletico Paranaense - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Chapecoense - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Vila Nova - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWTWL
- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
25.05.25	Amazonas - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Volta Redonda - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
12.05.25	Amazonas - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Remo - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Amazonas - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
26.09.24	Chapecoense - Amazonas	2:0
13.06.24	Amazonas - Chapecoense	0:1

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