Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 5

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
World	Disney+


	Vila Nova		Chapecoense

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.1	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.1	4.6
	1.92	3.1	4.4
	1.97	3.15	4.95
	1.9	3.02	4.79	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.8
	1.89	3.13	4.71	Watch
	1.92	3.1	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.77)	3.1 ↓ (3.4)	4.68 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
49.6%

Draw
30.3%

Chapecoense
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

26.4%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Vila Nova - Chapecoense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vila Nova will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Halls (G) 2. Elias 3. Tiago Pagnussat (C) 4. Bernardo Schappo 13. Willian Formiga 29. Junior Todinho 18. Arilson 17. Jean Mota 10. Diego Torres 96. Labandeira F. 9. Gabriel Poveda	12. Leo Vieira (G) 22. Mailton 25. Victor Caetano 33. Bruno Leonardo (C) 4. Joao Paulo 37. Clar W. 99. Rafael Carvalheira 16. Bruno Matias 10. Giovanni Augusto 9. Mario Sergio 7. Marcinho
Substitutes
11. Dodo 19. Gabriel Silva 16. Higor 6. Igor Inocencio 5. Joao Vieira 15. Miticov 8. Ralf 7. Ruan Ribeiro 1. Victor Hugo (G) 22. Vinicius Paiva 14. Walisson Maia 23. Weverton	97. Dentinho 3. Eduardo Doma 26. Everton 11. Getulio 77. Italo 5. Jorge Jimenez 6. Mancha 95. Marcinho 1. Rafael Santos (G) 30. Thomas Bedinelli
Coaches
Rafael Lacerda	Gilmar Pozzo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Labandeira F. ⚽,
67', Clar W. ↓, Mancha ↑,
67', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
71', Diego Torres ↓, Joao Vieira ↑,
72', Labandeira F. ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
75', Mailton ↓, Dentinho ↑,
76', Halls 🟨,
80', Junior Todinho ↓, Ruan Ribeiro ↑,
80', Jean Mota ↓, Dodo ↑,
83', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Thomas Bedinelli ↑,
83', Joao Paulo ↓, Everton ↑,
90+1', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Higor ↑,
90+6', Everton 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 3.

Vila Nova is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Chapecoense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.

There will not play in Vila Nova: Davis E. (Knee Injury) Emerson Urso (Inactive) Mauricio Kozlinski (Inactive)

There will not play in Chapecoense: Felipe Vieira (Injury) Marcinho (Injury) Pedro Martins (Injury) Romulo (Injury)

There are questionable in Vila Nova: Guilherme Parede (Knee Injury) Lucas Sena (Inactive)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.2:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
20.04.25	Vila Nova - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Goiás - Vila Nova	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Vila Nova - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Coritiba - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
30.03.25	Vila Nova - Anápolis	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWLW
- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie B
20.04.25	Chapecoense - Athletic Club	1:0 ✺
16.04.25	Paysandu - Chapecoense	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Chapecoense - Coritiba	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	CRB Maceio - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
22.03.25	Avaí - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
18.09.24	Vila Nova - Chapecoense	3:2
02.06.24	Chapecoense - Vila Nova	1:1
01.10.23	Vila Nova - Chapecoense	0:0
06.06.23	Chapecoense - Vila Nova	0:1
29.08.22	Chapecoense - Vila Nova	1:2
19.05.22	Vila Nova - Chapecoense	0:0

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