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Current Win Probability
Athletico Paranaense 63.8%
Draw 22.4%
Chapecoense 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.5%
23.6%
15.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.8%
22.7%
15.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Athletico Paranaense - Chapecoense Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Athletico PR (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Santos (C) 4. Arthur Dias 33. Aguirre F. 37. Esquivel L. 2. Gilberto Junior 27. Portilla J. 14. Luiz Gustavo 7. Mendoza S. 20. Julimar 53. Dudu Kogitzki 9. Viveros K.
1. Rafael Santos (G) 2. Marcos Vinicius 33. Bruno Leonardo (C) 3. Eduardo Doma 91. Bruno Pacheco 27. Camilo Reijers 22. Higor Meritao 97. Enio 5. Joao Vitor 77. Italo 11. Bolasie Y.
Substitutes
48. Bruninho 26. Claudinho 5. Felipinho 11. Isaac 16. Jadson 8. Joao Cruz 3. Leo 6. Leo Derik 21. Leozinho 1. Mycael (G) 70. Renan Peixoto 10. Zapelli B.
98. Anderson (G) 37. Clar W. 19. David Antunes 20. Jean Carlos 4. Joao Paulo 7. Marcinho 31. Mauricio Garcez 18. Neto Pessoa 99. Rafael Carvalheira 70. Rubens Ricoldi 25. Victor Caetano 17. Vinicius Balieiro
Coaches
Hellmann O.
Fabio Matias
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Bolasie Y. 🟨,
45+2', Julimar 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Portilla J. ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
53', Julimar ↓, Bruninho ↑,
56', Bolasie Y. ↓, Neto Pessoa ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Mendoza S. ⚽,
61', Neto Pessoa 🟨,
61', Eduardo Doma 🟨,
62', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
68', Bruno Leonardo 🟨,
69', Italo ↓, Mauricio Garcez ↑,
69', Enio ↓, Marcinho ↑,
71', Zapelli B. 🟨,
78', Joao Vitor ↓, Rafael Carvalheira ↑,
78', Higor Meritao ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Viveros K. ⚽, Joao Cruz (A),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Chapecoense has had a series of home games.
In this match, Athletico PR is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Athletico PR: Chiqueti
(Illness)
There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias
(Knee Injury)
Everton
(Yellow Cards)
Mauricio Garcez
(Hamstring Injury)
Robert Conceicao
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Athletico PR: Teran C.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Chapecoense: Everton
(Injury)
Giovanni Augusto
(Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 4 matches, drew 12 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Athletico-PR
29
14
8
7
45:34
11
50
20
Chapecoense-SC
28
3
9
16
29:57
-28
18
Last Results with these Odds
Athletico Paranaense - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.49%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
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Santos (C) 
Aguirre F. 
Esquivel L. 
Bolasie Y. 
Clar W. 
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