Match Info

Date: 29 January 2021, Friday


	Chapecoense		Confiança

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.44	3.8	6.5
	1.42	3.85	6.75	Watch
	1.46	3.9	6.6
	1.58	3.85	6.92
	1.44	3.9	8
	1.5	4.05	6.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)	3.87 ↓ (4.22)	6.88 ↓ (8.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
62.5%

Draw
24%

Confiança
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

22.1%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79.4%

18.5%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapecoense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Chapecoense - Confiança Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie A and 14).

Chapecoense is Qualified for Serie A

Recent matches Chapecoense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Confiança is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Chapecoense is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chapecoense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie B
25.01.21	Operário Ferroviario - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
21.01.21	Chapecoense - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
17.01.21	Vitória Salvador - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
12.01.21	Chapecoense - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
09.01.21	Botafogo SP - Chapecoense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTWL
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie B
23.01.21	Confiança - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
19.01.21	Confiança - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1 ✺
16.01.21	Osasco Sporting - Confiança	0:1 ✺
11.01.21	Confiança - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
08.01.21	CRB Maceio - Confiança	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
31.10.20	Confiança - Chapecoense	0:2

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