Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 34

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday

Location: Arena Condá (Chapecó)

Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Chapecoense		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	1.96	2.95	4.2	Watch
	2	3	4.05
	2.04	3.2	4.01
	1.99	3.04	4.16	Watch
	1.86	3.05	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.92)	3.05 (3.05)	4.18 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
47.2%

Draw
30.5%

Operário Ferroviario
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

30.3%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

30%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.2%	20.8%	0%

Chapecoense - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 2nd Half - Chapecoense (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Chapecoense (2.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - draw (1.77) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: Chapecoense will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Santos (G) 25. Victor Caetano 3. Eduardo Doma 4. Joao Paulo 26. Everton 99. Rafael Carvalheira 5. Jorge Jimenez 37. Clar W. 10. Giovanni Augusto 7. Marcinho 18. Neto Pessoa	1. Elias Curzel (G) 2. Diogo Mateus 34. Andre 4. Giraldo J. 90. Cristiano 8. Zuluaga J. 5. Indio 88. Neto Paraiba 10. Boschilia 70. Leo Gaucho 7. Rodrigo Rodrigues
Substitutes
33. Bruno Leonardo 19. David Antunes 76. Felipe Vieira 77. Italo 21. Kauan 12. Leo Vieira (G) 90. Mailson 95. Marcinho 48. Pedro Martins 9. Pedro Perotti 70. Rubens Ricoldi	99. Ademilson 89. Daniel Amorim 18. Gabriel Souza 6. Jefferson 22. Leo Silva 30. Pedro Vilhena 14. Ryan Santos 13. Thiaguinho 33. Vagner (G) 9. Vinicius Mingotti 31. Vitor Pernambuco
Coaches
Gilmar Pozzo	Alex

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Cristiano (Own goal),
42', 2 - 0, Neto Pessoa ⚽, Everton (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Boschilia ↓, Vinicius Mingotti ↑,
46', Neto Paraiba ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
46', Jorge Jimenez ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
46', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Vitor Pernambuco ↑,
47', Giovanni Augusto 🟨,
68', Diogo Mateus 🟨,
70', Diogo Mateus ↓, Ademilson ↑,
72', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Marcinho ↑,
72', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
77', Cristiano 🟨,
81', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
82', Zuluaga J. 🟨,
87', Everton ↓, Bruno Leonardo ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 1.

In recent matches, Chapecoense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Operário PR is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Operário PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chapecoense is the team to beat.

There will not play in Chapecoense: Bressan (Injury) Bruno Matias (Knee Injury) Getulio (Injury) Jhonnathan (Inactive) Mancha (Knee Injury) Vinicius Balieiro (Inactive)

There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira (Inactive) Charles Raphael (Red Card) Filipe Claudino (Injury) Leo Cittadini (Injury) Talles (Inactive) Thales Oleques (Inactive)

There are questionable in Chapecoense: Marlon (Inactive)

There are questionable in Operário PR: Marcos Paulo (Muscle Injury) Matheus Souza (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Operário Ferroviario - the odds 4.3 are the expected chance of winning is 21.51%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
26.10.25	Figueirense - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Chapecoense - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
19.10.25	Goiás - Chapecoense	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
15.10.25	Chapecoense - Concórdia	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
14.10.25	Chapecoense - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWWTT
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
19.10.25	Operário Ferroviario - Volta Redonda	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario	3:0 ✺
08.10.25	Operário Ferroviario - Athletic Club	1:4 ✺
05.10.25	Operário Ferroviario - Remo	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
07.07.25	Operário Ferroviario - Chapecoense	1:2
03.10.24	Operário Ferroviario - Chapecoense	3:2
17.06.24	Chapecoense - Operário Ferroviario	0:1
08.10.22	Chapecoense - Operário Ferroviario	1:1
27.06.22	Operário Ferroviario - Chapecoense	2:1
25.01.21	Operário Ferroviario - Chapecoense	2:0
23.10.20	Chapecoense - Operário Ferroviario	1:0

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