Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 33

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Goiás		Chapecoense

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.3	5.25	Watch
	1.72	3.35	4.85
	1.79	3.68	5.14
	1.75	3.48	4.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.82)	3.45 ↑ (3.28)	4.98 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
53.9%

Draw
27.2%

Chapecoense
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

28.2%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

30.1%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Goiás - Chapecoense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (C) 20. Diego Caito 75. Messias 14. Lucas Ribeiro 6. Moraes 77. Marcao Silva 28. Juninho 27. Wellington Rato 32. Rodrigo Andrade 7. Jaja 9. Anselmo Ramon	1. Rafael Santos (G) 25. Victor Caetano 3. Eduardo Doma 4. Joao Paulo 99. Rafael Carvalheira 26. Everton 5. Jorge Jimenez 37. Clar W. 10. Giovanni Augusto (C) 7. Marcinho 18. Neto Pessoa
Substitutes
18. Alan Stence 55. Baldoria 91. Brayann 66. Danilo Cunha 5. Freitas G. 15. Garcia E. 21. Jean Carlos 3. Luiz Felipe 8. Rafael Gava 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 4. Titi 11. Welliton	33. Bruno Leonardo 27. Eduardo Person 76. Felipe Vieira 2. Gabriel Inocencio 77. Italo 21. Kauan 12. Leo Vieira (G) 90. Mailson 95. Marcinho 9. Pedro Perotti 40. Salas De La Hoz A. D. J.
Coaches
Fabio Carille	Gilmar Pozzo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Clar W. (Pen),
45+1', Marcinho 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Rodrigo Andrade ↓, Brayann ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Marcinho ⚽, Giovanni Augusto (A),
59', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Marcinho ↑,
59', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
60', Juninho ↓, Rafael Gava ↑,
60', Jaja ↓, Welliton ↑,
62', Messias 🟨,
66', Diego Caito ↓, Baldoria ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Anselmo Ramon ⚽, Brayann (A),
77', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
77', Everton ↓, Gabriel Inocencio ↑,
87', 1 - 3, Italo ⚽, Marcinho (A),
88', Wellington Rato ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
90', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, Bruno Leonardo ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 3.

Goiás has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chapecoense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Goiás may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Goiás is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Goiás: Arthur Caike (Muscle Injury) Lucas Lovat (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Chapecoense: Bressan (Injury) Bruno Matias (Knee Injury) David Antunes (Yellow Cards) Getulio (Injury) Jhonnathan (Inactive) Mancha (Knee Injury) Pedro Martins (Yellow Cards) Vinicius Balieiro (Inactive)

There are questionable in Goiás: Garcia E. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Chapecoense: Marlon (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Goiás won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Chapecoense - the odds 4.4 are the expected chance of winning is 21.04%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
11.10.25	Athletic Club - Goiás	1:1 ✺
07.10.25	Goiás - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Volta Redonda - Goiás	0:0 ✺
30.09.25	Goiás - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
23.09.25	Ferroviária - Goiás	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLTTT
- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
15.10.25	Chapecoense - Concórdia	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
14.10.25	Chapecoense - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
09.10.25	Ferroviária - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
06.10.25	Brusque - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
04.10.25	Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
29.06.25	Chapecoense - Goiás	1:2
21.10.24	Chapecoense - Goiás	0:4
06.07.24	Goiás - Chapecoense	1:2
Brazilian Serie A
20.10.19	Chapecoense - Goiás	2:2
10.06.19	Goiás - Chapecoense	3:1
29.11.15	Chapecoense - Goiás	1:3
12.08.15	Goiás - Chapecoense	0:0

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