The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Operário Ferroviario 44.5%
Draw 29.6%
Athletic Club 25.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.8%
27.4%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.8%
26.9%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Operário Ferroviario's form might have worsened.
Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Operário Ferroviario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
33.3%
50%
Operário Ferroviario - Athletic Club Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Athletic will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
1. Elias Curzel (G) 26. Maguinho 22. Cuenu J. 43. Joseph (C) 27. Gabriel Feliciano 21. Brenno Pereira 20. Vinicius Diniz 5. Indio 6. Moraes 28. Dudu Mosconi 99. Caio Dantas
1. Luan Polli (G) 22. Diogo Batista 3. Jhonatan Silva 4. Belezi 6. Zeca (C) 5. Felipe Negrucci 16. Joao Miguel 17. Kauan Rodrigues 18. Pedro Oliveira 21. Vera D. 9. Carlinhos
Substitutes
18. Andre 19. Erig Daitx L. 23. Joao Gabriel 4. Klaus 2. Mikael Doka 16. Miranda 88. Neto Paraiba 17. Nicolas 30. Pedro Vilhena 14. Pereira H. 33. Vagner (G) 8. Zuluaga J.
20. Aponza W. 8. Assis 7. Bruninho 2. Douglas Pele 23. Enzo Santos 26. Glauco (G) 15. Jota 11. Max 13. Philipe Sampaio 12. Tony (G) 14. Yago Santos 10. Yarlen
Coaches
Alberto Valentim
Alex Souza
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Brenno Pereira 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Caio Dantas ⚽, Dudu Mosconi (A),
45', Jhonatan Silva 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zeca ↓, Enzo Santos ↑,
46', Vera D. ↓, Aponza W. ↑,
46', Pedro Oliveira ↓, Philipe Sampaio ↑,
64', Felipe Negrucci ↓, Jota ↑,
67', Dudu Mosconi ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
77', Maguinho ↓, Miranda ↑,
77', Moraes ↓, Andre ↑,
81', Diogo Batista ↓, Max ↑,
83', Caio Dantas ↓, Erig Daitx L. ↑,
83', Brenno Pereira ↓, Mikael Doka ↑,
90', Andre 🟨,
90+6', Aponza W. 🟨,
90+8', Jhonatan Silva 🟥,
90+11', Pereira H. 🟨,
90+14', Belezi 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 10th and 14th).
Operário PR has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Athletic is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Operário PR for this game.
Confirmed absences for Operário PR: Aylon
(Yellow Cards)
Boschilia
(Inactive)
Matheus Trindade
(Inactive)
Pablo
(Inactive)
Torres A.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Athletic: Sidimar
(Injury)
Tavares R.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Operário PR: Maxwell
(Inactive).
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Operário PR has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:6 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Operário PR against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:4 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Operario-PR
35
14
9
12
45:46
-1
51
14
Athletic Club
35
10
14
11
40:40
0
44
Last Results with these Odds
Operário Ferroviario - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.85%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
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Elias Curzel (G) 
Cuenu J. 
Vera D. 
Pereira H. 
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