Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 34

Date: 30 October 2023, Monday


	Chapecoense		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3	3.7
	2.1	3.1	3.75	Watch
	2.02	3.05	3.3
	2.06	3.16	4.32
	2.05	2.9	4
	1.98	3.24	4.05	Watch
	2.03	3.15	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.97)	3.09 ↑ (2.99)	3.83 ↓ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
45.7%

Draw
30.1%

Tombense
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

31.1%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

30.2%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Chapecoense - Tombense Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tombense will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Airton (C) 15. Ronei 13. Bruno Leonardo 43. Lucas Freitas 80. Mancha 4. Victor Ferraz 22. Bruno 88. Bruno Nazario 94. Felipe Ferreira 97. Marco Antonio 9. Henrique Dourado	1. Felipe Garcia (G) 22. Kevin 3. Ednei 4. Roger Carvalho (C) 6. Egidio 8. Bruninho 5. Joao Pedro 10. Matheus Frizzo 7. Guilherme Santos 9. Fernandao 17. Keke
Substitutes
10. Alisson Farias 20. Bastos T. 51. Carlos Eduardo (G) 6. Cristiano 99. Darnlei 31. Douglas Borel 70. Dudu Vieira 67. Fabiano 8. Kaio Mendes 5. Pablo Oliveira 30. Rafael Ribeiro 32. Rodrigo Freitas	20. Alexandre Jesus 19. Alex Sandro 14. Augusto 15. Bruno Silva 18. Jaderson 11. Kleiton 12. Leo Lang (G) 23. Lucas Marques 21. Marcelinho 2. Pedro Costa 16. Robert 13. Wesley
Coaches
Oliveira C.	Junior M.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Chapecoense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tombense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tombense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Chapecoense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chapecoense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Chapecoense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
29.10.23	Joinville - Chapecoense	5:1 ✺
24.10.23	Chapecoense - Avaí	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.10.23	Sport Recife - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
14.10.23	Concórdia - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
13.10.23	Criciúma - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWLTW
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
19.10.23	Tombense - Vila Nova	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Tombense	0:0 ✺
07.10.23	Tombense - Juventude	1:1 ✺
29.09.23	Vitória Salvador - Tombense	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Tombense - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
30.06.23	Tombense - Chapecoense	4:2
21.10.22	Chapecoense - Tombense	3:2
09.07.22	Tombense - Chapecoense	2:1

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