Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Patriots Point Soccer Complex (Mount Pleasant, SC)

Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Charleston Battery		Sacramento Republic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.30	3.90
	1.85	3.3	4.05
	1.81	3.49	4.8
	1.88	3.38	4.15	Watch
	1.87	3.3	4.3
	1.83	3.45	4.29	Watch
	1.84	3.3	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.73)	3.36 ↓ (3.73)	4.21 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charleston Battery
50.5%

Draw
27.5%

Sacramento Republic
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

24.7%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24.1%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charleston Battery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleston Battery than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Charleston Battery - Sacramento Republic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
56. Zamudio L. (G) 42. Martinez D. 5. Suber S. 22. Akpunonu J. 3. Messer N. 8. Ycaza E. (C) 88. Pakhomov K. 99. Foster M. 90. Berry M. 29. Kelly J. 30. Swan C.	1. Vitiello D. (G) 2. Gurr J. 5. Timmer J. 4. Desmond L. (C) 15. Essel A. 24. Casas J. 18. Kaye M. 20. Willey B. 8. Rodriguez M. 7. Malango M. 11. Ajago F.
Substitutes
4. Allan C. 1. Berner J. (G) 7. Blackstock L. 13. Cabrera A. 12. Hughes A. 10. Kissiedou L. 24. Kuzemka D. (G)	27. Crisostomo D. 71. Edwards K. 19. Midence A. 43. Paskey R. 31. Randolph J. (G) 55. Ukaegbu C. 16. Wolff T.
Coaches
Pirmann B.	Collins N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Foster M. 🟨,
27', Collins N. 🟨,
31', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Ajago F. ⚽, Timmer J. (A),
66', Pakhomov K. ↓, Kissiedou L. ↑,
66', Foster M. ↓, Blackstock L. ↑,
66', Malango M. ↓, Wolff T. ↑,
66', Casas J. ↓, Crisostomo D. ↑,
70', Essel A. 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Ycaza E. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Ycaza E. 🟨,
75', Ajago F. 🟥,
76', Swan C. ↓, Hughes A. ↑,
79', Willey B. ↓, Ukaegbu C. ↑,
84', Martinez D. ↓, Cabrera A. ↑,
87', Rodriguez M. ↓, Midence A. ↑,
90+3', Berry M. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Charleston Battery is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Charleston Battery won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Charleston Battery won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Charleston Battery - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.1%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charleston Battery
USL Cup
11.07.26	Charleston Battery - Charlotte Independence	2:3 penalties ✺
USL Championship
04.07.26	Indy Eleven - Charleston Battery	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Charleston Battery - Loudoun United	4:1 ✺
20.06.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Charleston Battery	2:5 ✺
13.06.26	Charleston Battery - Tulsa	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWW
- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Cup
11.07.26	Boise - Sacramento Republic	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
08.07.26	Sacramento Republic - Rhode Island	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Sacramento Republic	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
22.10.25	Sacramento Republic - Charleston Battery	1:0
07.09.24	Charleston Battery - Sacramento Republic	2:1
18.03.23	Sacramento Republic - Charleston Battery	1:1
30.07.22	Charleston Battery - Sacramento Republic	2:4

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