The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Philadelphia Union 65.9%
Draw 18.3%
Charlotte 15.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.3%
22%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.6%
20.3%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Philadelphia Union's performance.
Charlotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charlotte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Philadelphia Union that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Philadelphia Union - Charlotte Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Blake A. (C) 39. Westfield F. 44. Pierre N. 26. Harriel N. 27. Wagner K. 6. Sullivan C. 21. Jean Jacques D. 4. Lukic J. 19. Vassilev I. 10. Iloski M. 9. Damiani B.
1. Kahlina K. (G) 14. Byrne N. 44. Agyemang M. 22. Kessler H. 23. Schnegg D. 28. Diani D. 8. Westwood A. (C) 16. Biel P. 37. Aloko R. 9. Toklomati I. 10. Saint-Maximin A.
Substitutes
23. Alladoh E. 28. Anello A. 11. Bedoya A. 16. Bender B. 51. Jakupovic M. 14. Rafanello J. 76. Rick A. (G) 5. Sery Larsen J. 33. Sullivan Q.
11. Abada L. 13. Bronico B. 35. Cleary W. 17. de la Torre L. 21. Miller T. (G) 4. Privett A. 3. Ream T. 25. Smalls T. 15. Toffolo H.
Coaches
Richter R.
Smith D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Saint-Maximin A. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Iloski M. (Penalty Awarded),
44', Agyemang M. 🟨,
45+1', Schnegg D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, Aloko R. ⚽, Toklomati I. (A),
56', Vassilev I. ↓, Sullivan Q. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Toklomati I. ⚽, Schnegg D. (A),
73', 2 - 2, Damiani B. ⚽, Jean Jacques D. (A),
82', Damiani B. ↓, Jakupovic M. ↑,
83', Saint-Maximin A. ↓, Abada L. ↑,
83', Diani D. ↓, de la Torre L. ↑,
83', Schnegg D. ↓, Toffolo H. ↑,
90+12', Aloko R. ↓, Smalls T. ↑,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 6th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 5th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
Philadelphia arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Charlotte has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Philadelphia for this game.
Confirmed absences for Philadelphia: Anello A.
(Groin Injury).
Confirmed absences for Charlotte: Berchimas N.
(Foot Injury)
Doucoure A.
(Inactive)
Goodwin A.
(Foot Injury)
John A.
(Shoulder Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Philadelphia in today's match, at odds of 1.51.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Philadelphia has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:9 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Philadelphia against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:3 goals (averaging 1:0.8 per game).
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Blake A. (C) 
Westfield F. 
Wagner K. 
Jean Jacques D. 
Lukic J. 
Damiani B. 
Kahlina K. (G) 
Byrne N. 
Agyemang M. 
Schnegg D. 
Diani D. 
Biel P. 
Aloko R. 
Toklomati I. 
Sery Larsen J. 
