Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Bank of America Stadium (Charlotte)

Referee: Freemon J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Netherlands	ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra


	Charlotte Eagles		Philadelphia Union

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3	3.4	2.2
	3.05	3.45	2.25
	3.1	3.45	2.15
	3.17	3.53	2.29
	3.1	3.4	2.2
	3.08	3.6	2.18	Watch
	3.15	3.5	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.65)	3.48 ↑ (3.42)	2.21 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte Eagles
30.3%

Draw
27.1%

Philadelphia Union
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

27.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

27.8%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlotte Eagles's form might have worsened.

Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Philadelphia Union's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Eagles than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charlotte Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philadelphia Union, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	19.2%	50%

Charlotte Eagles - Philadelphia Union Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Charlotte Eagles will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 13 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 30.8% – 69.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Philadelphia is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Philadelphia has the most likely position - 1 (97.44%), has project points - 68, has currently - 64, was already of playoffs, has a very good chance of first-round bye (97%), has a chance of supporters shield (50%), has a chance of win league (37%).

Recent matches Charlotte Eagles is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Philadelphia in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Philadelphia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Philadelphia will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Charlotte Eagles: Armour A. (Injury) Mello Vinicius (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Charlotte Eagles won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte Eagles
MLS
17.09.22	Chicago Fire - Charlotte Eagles	2:3 ✺
10.09.22	Charlotte Eagles - New York City	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Cincinnati - Charlotte Eagles	2:0 ✺
27.08.22	Charlotte Eagles - Toronto FC	0:2 ✺
21.08.22	Charlotte Eagles - Orlando City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLLL
- Philadelphia Union
Club Friendly
24.09.22	Philadelphia Union - Pachuca	1:0 ✺
MLS
17.09.22	Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union	0:0 ✺
10.09.22	Philadelphia Union - Orlando City	5:1 ✺
03.09.22	New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union	0:2 ✺
31.08.22	Philadelphia Union - Atlanta United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
02.04.22	Philadelphia Union - Charlotte Eagles	2:0

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