Match Info

US Open Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: American Legion Memorial Stadium (Charlotte, NC)


	Charlotte Independence		North Carolina

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.2	Watch
	2.95	3.3	2.05
	3.05	3.45	2.15
	3.05	3.45	2.21
	3.1	3.52	2.18	Watch
	3	3.2	2.15
	3.1	3.5	2.21	Watch
	3.05	3.45	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.58)	3.38 ↑ (3.38)	2.16 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Charlotte Independence
30.2%

Draw
27.2%

North Carolina
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

27.4%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

27.2%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Charlotte Independence - North Carolina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlotte Ind (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Charlotte Ind (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlotte Ind (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Romig A. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 4. Spielman N. 3. Ousmanou P. 13. Sorenson A. 15. Jauregui R. 6. Ciss O. 7. Alvarez L. 9. Bakero J. 11. Ndiaye B. 26. Marou S.	25. Fitzgerald A. (C) 10. Servania J. 66. Sundstrom F. 4. Malou J. 55. Hodge T. 16. Da Costa R. 19. Al Qaq A. 17. Martin C. 44. Sommersall R. 13. Perez L. 9. Anderson O.
Substitutes
99. Chaney C. 10. Gray N. 80. Jaime C. 23. Levy M. (G) 8. Moreno J. 2. Ngah F. 5. Romero J.	7. Conway E. 15. Maldonado M. 24. Mulqueen T. (G) 8. Pedro Becker 71. Quintanilla J. 14. Rafa Mentzingen 27. Washington B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Ciss O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 1 - 0, Bakero J. ⚽,
61', Al Qaq A. ↓, Rafa Mentzingen ↑,
61', Sommersall R. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
62', Perez L. ↓, Pedro Becker ↑,
67', Ousmanou P. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Anderson O. ⚽, Dolabella (A),
74', 1 - 2, Da Costa R. ⚽, Maldonado M. (A),
75', Hodge T. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
75', Bakero J. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
75', Marou S. ↓, Chaney C. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Da Costa R. ⚽, Anderson O. (A),
83', Ndiaye B. ↓, Gray N. ↑,
83', Ousmanou P. ↓, Romero J. ↑,
90', Jauregui R. ↓, Jaime C. ↑,
90+1', Servania J. ↓, Quintanilla J. ↑,
90+2', Sorenson A. 🟨,
90+4', Alvarez L. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Charlotte Ind won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

North Carolina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

North Carolina will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Charlotte Ind won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 23:35 (average 1.2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Charlotte Ind won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:12 (average 1.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte Independence
USL League One
11.04.25	Charlotte Independence - Forward Madison	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Greenville Triumph - Charlotte Independence	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.25	Charlotte Independence - Carolina Core	2:1 ET ✺
USL League One
28.03.25	Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
20.03.25	Long Island Rough Riders - Charlotte Independence	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWTW
- North Carolina FC
USL Championship
12.04.25	New Mexico United - North Carolina	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Indy Eleven - North Carolina	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	North Carolina - Charleston Battery	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Tulsa - North Carolina	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	North Carolina - Loudoun United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
05.11.23	North Carolina - Charlotte Independence	2:1 penalties
30.06.23	North Carolina - Charlotte Independence	2:0
21.05.23	Charlotte Independence - North Carolina	2:1
08.04.23	North Carolina - Charlotte Independence	1:1
15.10.22	Charlotte Independence - North Carolina	5:1
24.09.22	Charlotte Independence - North Carolina	2:1
18.06.22	North Carolina - Charlotte Independence	2:0

Upcoming Matches