Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park (Albuquerque, NM)

Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+


	New Mexico United		North Carolina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.2	2.9
	2.2	3.35	3.1
	2.24	3.31	3.16	Watch
	2.17	3.38	3.07	Watch
	2.2	3.35	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.94)	3.32 ↓ (3.53)	3.07 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

Watch this match and USL Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: MyNetworkTV (KASY – Albuquerque, NM)

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Current Win Probability

New Mexico United
42.1%

Draw
27.8%

North Carolina
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Mexico United's form might have worsened.

North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

New Mexico United - North Carolina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tambakis A. (G) 16. Seymore W. 12. Maples T. 22. Ryden K. (C) 24. Lindsey J. 6. Zelalem G. 9. Luiz Fernando 15. Jabang O. 8. Vargas M. 11. Akale M. 17. Hurst G.	1. McGuire J. (G) 14. Rafa Mentzingen 55. Hodge T. 66. Sundstrom F. 5. Craig P. (C) 10. Servania J. 8. Pedro Becker 44. Sommersall R. 15. Maldonado M. 13. Perez L. 7. Conway E.
Substitutes
23. Amang T. 19. Bailey Z. 25. Bruce D. 10. Gaines M. 4. Herbert A. 7. Rivas S. 42. Sais J. 13. Shakes K. (G)	19. Al Qaq A. 9. Anderson O. 16. Da Costa R. 26. Luckhurst A. 4. Malou J. 17. Martin C. 24. Mulqueen T. (G)
Coaches
Sanchez D.	Bradford J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Perez L. 🟨,
22', Akale M. 🟨,
36', Rafa Mentzingen 🟨,
38', Zelalem G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Sommersall R. 🟨,
61', Zelalem G. ↓, Bailey Z. ↑,
64', Perez L. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
67', Jabang O. 🟨,
71', Pedro Becker 🟨,
72', Conway E. ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
72', Pedro Becker ↓, Da Costa R. ↑,
75', Jabang O. ↓, Rivas S. ↑,
84', Hurst G. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
85', Akale M. ↓, Gaines M. ↑,
90+1', Sundstrom F. ↓, Malou J. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 0, Amang T. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches North Carolina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

New Mexico could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

New Mexico will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Mexico United
USL Championship
29.03.25	Miami - New Mexico United	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Las Vegas Lights - New Mexico United	2:3 ✺
08.03.25	Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLL
- North Carolina FC
USL Championship
05.04.25	Indy Eleven - North Carolina	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	North Carolina - Charleston Battery	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Tulsa - North Carolina	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	North Carolina - Loudoun United	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	North Carolina - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
20.04.24	North Carolina - New Mexico United	2:3

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