Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Michael A. Carroll Stadium (Indianapolis, IN)

Referee: Carvajal E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS


	Indy Eleven		North Carolina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.3	3
	2.09	3.45	3.2
	2.16	3.48	3.18	Watch
	2.13	3.42	3.13	Watch
	2.09	3.45	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.39)	3.42 ↓ (3.52)	3.14 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indy Eleven
43.8%

Draw
26.9%

North Carolina
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

26.2%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Indy Eleven's performance.

North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and North Carolina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Indy Eleven - North Carolina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Sulte H. (G) 30. Ofeimu B. 3. Hogan P. 41. Musa J. 16. Stanley A. 5. Murphy J. 14. Quinn A. (C) 99. Foster M. 8. Blake J. 21. Bryneus O. 19. Kizza E.	1. McGuire J. (G) 14. Rafa Mentzingen 27. Washington B. 20. Donovan C. 5. Craig P. (C) 10. Servania J. 8. Pedro Becker 15. Maldonado M. 44. Sommersall R. 19. Al Qaq A. 7. Conway E.
Substitutes
22. Amoh E. 23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 18. Collier E. 6. Lindley C. 4. McRobb F. 17. Neidlinger L. 2. O'Brien J.	9. Anderson O. 16. Da Costa R. 25. Fitzgerald A. (G) 55. Hodge T. 4. Malou J. 17. Martin C. 13. Perez L. 71. Quintanilla J. 66. Sundstrom F.
Coaches
McAuley S.	Bradford J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Murphy J. 🟨,
8', Musa J. 🟨,
13', Rafa Mentzingen 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Sommersall R. (Own goal),
42', Washington B. ↓, Sundstrom F. ↑,
45', Sommersall R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 2 - 0, Kizza E. ⚽, Foster M. (A),
51', 2 - 1, Conway E. ⚽, Pedro Becker (A),
65', Sommersall R. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
65', Al Qaq A. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
80', Bryneus O. ↓, Neidlinger L. ↑,
81', Craig P. 🟨,
84', Servania J. 🟨,
88', Conway E. ↓, Da Costa R. ↑,
88', Kizza E. ↓, Amoh E. ↑,
89', Quinn A. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Donovan C. ⚽,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Indy won 3.

Indy will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Indy won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 31:26 (average 1.6:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Indy won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21:10 (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
29.03.25	Indy Eleven - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:3 ✺
22.03.25	Lexington - Indy Eleven	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Miami - Indy Eleven	1:3 ✺
03.11.24	Indy Eleven - Rhode Island	2:3 ✺
26.10.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTWLL
- North Carolina FC
USL Championship
29.03.25	North Carolina - Charleston Battery	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Tulsa - North Carolina	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	North Carolina - Loudoun United	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	North Carolina - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Louisville City - North Carolina	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
21.09.24	North Carolina - Indy Eleven	2:0
27.04.24	Indy Eleven - North Carolina	2:1
03.08.19	North Carolina - Indy Eleven	1:2
04.05.19	Indy Eleven - North Carolina	0:0
15.08.18	Indy Eleven - North Carolina	3:2
07.04.18	North Carolina - Indy Eleven	0:1
NASL
29.10.17	Indy Eleven - North Carolina	2:2

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