Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 19

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Lincoln City		Charlton Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.2
	2.25	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.25	3.27	3.47
	2.2	3.22	3.32	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.3
	2.21	3.34	3.33	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.11)	3.26 ↓ (3.3)	3.3 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
42.5%

Draw
28.9%

Charlton Athletic
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28.4%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Lincoln City - Charlton Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Charlton will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wickens G. (G) 4. Montsma L. 15. O'Connor P. 23. Roughan S. 6. Erhahon E. 12. Ring E. 14. McGrandles C. 28. Moylan J. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 27. Makama J. 34. Draper F.	21. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 4. Mitchell A. 5. Jones L. 3. Gillesphey M. 7. Campbell T. 10. Docherty G. (C) 12. Taylor T. 18. Anderson K. 16. Edwards J. 29. Kanu D. 9. Ahadme G.
Substitutes
9. Cadamarteri B. 17. Duffy D. 11. Hamilton E. 16. Jefferies D. 21. Pardington J. (G) 29. Street R. 19. Walker T.	8. Berry L. 28. Campbell A. 23. Edmonds-Green R. 24. Godden M. 38. Laqeretabua J. 11. Leaburn M. 26. Small T.
Coaches
Skubala M.	Jones N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Kanu D. 🟨,
27', Jones L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Ring E. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
66', Kanu D. ↓, Godden M. ↑,
66', Ahadme G. ↓, Leaburn M. ↑,
73', Draper F. ↓, Cadamarteri B. ↑,
74', Edwards J. ↓, Small T. ↑,
74', Anderson K. ↓, Campbell A. ↑,
81', Moylan J. ↓, Hamilton E. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 9 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 2.

Lincoln is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Charlton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Lincoln have a series of guest games.

Lincoln will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.5:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.8:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Lincoln City - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.49%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League One
03.12.24	Rotherham United - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Crawley Town - Lincoln City	3:4 ✺
English League One
26.11.24	Wrexham - Lincoln City	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Lincoln City - Wycombe Wanderers	2:3 ✺
16.11.24	Exeter City - Lincoln City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLT
- Charlton Athletic
English League One
03.12.24	Charlton Athletic - Crawley Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Walsall - Charlton Athletic	0:4 ✺
English League One
26.11.24	Burton Albion - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
23.11.24	Huddersfield Town - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Charlton Athletic - Bromley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
13.02.24	Charlton Athletic - Lincoln City	1:1
24.10.23	Lincoln City - Charlton Athletic	3:1
07.01.23	Charlton Athletic - Lincoln City	2:1
08.10.22	Lincoln City - Charlton Athletic	0:0
02.04.22	Charlton Athletic - Lincoln City	1:2
16.10.21	Lincoln City - Charlton Athletic	2:1
04.05.21	Charlton Athletic - Lincoln City	3:1

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