The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cray Wanderers 28%
Draw 25.2%
Chatham Town 46.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.1%
22.6%
50.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
19.3%
42.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cray Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Chatham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (-4%)
Cray Wanderers - Chatham Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 0 - 1, Ranger N. ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, Hernandez A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cray won 2.
In recent matches, Cray has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Chatham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Chatham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Chatham has had a series of home games.
Chatham might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cray won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 2.5:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cray won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now
Chatham: 6.32% Cray Wanderers: 3.29%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Cray Wanderers
8
3
3
2
18:12
6
12
13
Chatham
8
4
0
4
16:13
3
12
Last Results with these Odds
Cray Wanderers - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.12%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Chatham Town - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.24%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.