Match Info

USL League One

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: CHI Memorial Stadium (East Ridge, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Chattanooga Red Wolves		Sarasota Paradise

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.4
	1.96	3.36	3.52
	1.98	3.54	3.55	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.3
	1.94	3.34	3.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.95)	3.31 (3.31)	3.45 (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chattanooga Red Wolves
46.3%

Draw
27.4%

Sarasota Paradise
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

27.3%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

25.9%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chattanooga Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Sarasota Paradise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarasota Paradise than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Chattanooga Red Wolves - Sarasota Paradise Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smith J. (G) 4. Vaughan J. 2. Adewole T. 22. Kinzner E. 33. Ayimbila J. 11. Ramos J. 21. Acosta M. 17. Tapia O. 7. Hernandez O. 14. Hernandez P. (C) 10. Bentley M.	1. Sutton A. (G) 2. Burlew R. 4. Watters D. (C) 14. Pettersen J. 36. Rosa A. 16. Rodriguez A. 10. Cence M. 5. Linderoth J. 20. Tainio M. 17. Bolanos J. 46. Roed S.
Substitutes
19. Donoho N. 12. Jerez R. (G) 35. Kelly-Rosales A. 23. Lelin Y. 27. Maldonado J. 20. Mensah R. 9. Mercer G.	23. Amedeka R. (G) 9. Bender J. 32. Bolduc M. 7. Bryant E. 19. McLaughlin G. 3. Valentine R. 8. Walker A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Bentley M. ⚽, Ayimbila J. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Cence M. ⚽, Roed S. (A),
45+3', 2 - 1, Adewole T. ⚽, Bentley M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Vaughan J. ↓, Kelly-Rosales A. ↑,
54', 3 - 1, Bentley M. ⚽, Acosta M. (A),
57', Tapia O. 🟨,
63', Rosa A. ↓, Walker A. ↑,
63', Tainio M. ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
63', Burlew R. ↓, Valentine R. ↑,
65', 4 - 1, Bentley M. ⚽,
66', Hernandez O. ↓, Maldonado J. ↑,
70', Cence M. ↓, Bolduc M. ↑,
76', Hernandez P. ↓, Mensah R. ↑,
76', Ayimbila J. ↓, Lelin Y. ↑,
79', Roed S. ↓, Bryant E. ↑,
83', Tapia O. ↓, Mercer G. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 13).

Chattanooga has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sarasota Paradise's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chattanooga could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50:43	7	46
12	Sarasota Paradise	28	9	6	13	39:43	-4	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL League One
02.05.26	Boise - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Corpus Christi	0:1 ✺
USL League One
11.04.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Fort Wayne	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	AV Alta - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:2 ✺
US Open Cup
19.03.26	Tennessee Tempo - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Sarasota Paradise
USL League One
02.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - Forward Madison	1:3 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sarasota Paradise	2:0 ✺
USL League One
22.04.26	Sarasota Paradise - Corpus Christi	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Naples - Sarasota Paradise	2:0 ✺
08.04.26	Westchester SC - Sarasota Paradise	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL

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