Match Info

Date: 15 April 2022, Friday


	Chaves		Covilhã

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	6	Watch
	1.46	3.9	6.25
	1.44	3.9	6.75
	1.48	4.1	6.2
	1.47	4.34	7.74
	1.42	3.7	7.5
	1.43	4.3	6.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.55)	4.03 ↑ (3.92)	6.77 ↑ (5.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaves
63.4%

Draw
22.9%

Covilhã
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

23.8%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

23.4%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Chaves - Covilhã Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chaves won 0.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Chaves is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Chaves won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Chaves won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Chaves
Portuguese Liga 2
09.04.22	Mafra - Chaves	0:1 ✺
03.04.22	Chaves - Nacional	2:0 ✺
20.03.22	Trofense - Chaves	1:1 ✺
13.03.22	Chaves - Casa Pia	4:1 ✺
06.03.22	Penafiel - Chaves	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTWL
- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2
10.04.22	Covilhã - Académica Coimbra	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Farense - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
19.03.22	Covilhã - Mafra	2:0 ✺
13.03.22	Covilhã - Trofense	2:0 ✺
05.03.22	Nacional - Covilhã	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
05.12.21	Covilhã - Chaves	0:2
11.04.21	Chaves - Covilhã	2:0
07.12.20	Covilhã - Chaves	1:2
01.03.20	Covilhã - Chaves	0:2
21.09.19	Chaves - Covilhã	2:3
17.01.16	Chaves - Covilhã	1:0
16.08.15	Covilhã - Chaves	0:1

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