Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Chaves (Chaves)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	RTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, Startimes Sports Life
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Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Colombia	Win Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 4
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Hungary	Sport 2
Portugal	RTP 1, RTPi, RTP International, Sport TV1
Russia	TV Start
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Chaves		Benfica

	1	X	2
	13	6.25	1.17
	9.8	6.4	1.24
	15.35	7.5	1.16
	30.00	13.35	1.04	Watch
	9.45	5.35	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.52 ↑ (15)	7.77 ↓ (9)	1.18 ↑ (1.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaves
6.2%

Draw
12.4%

Benfica
81.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.1%

83.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Chaves - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Benfica will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Chaves (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Benfica (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Chaves (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1, 1st Half - Chaves (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2 - Benfica (2.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Chaves (votes: 4 - 40%). Benfica (votes: 6 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Gudzulic M. (G) 34. Alves R. 22. Muscat Z. 4. Bruno Rodrigues 15. Carraca (C) 20. Ktatau 8. Pinho P. 5. Kiko 7. Paulo Victor 9. Milovanovic U. 18. Pereira H.	24. Soares S. (G) 17. Dedic A. 4. Silva A. (C) 44. Araujo T. 26. Dahl S. 5. Barrenechea E. 8. Aursnes F. 11. Lukebakio D. 84. Rego J. 10. Sudakov G. 14. Pavlidis V.
Substitutes
30. Kusso D. 17. Roberto 26. Rodrigues G. 33. Simoes T. 19. Tiago Almeida 29. Tounkara M. 1. Vozinha (G) 21. Wellington Carvalho 14. Wilson R.	39. Araujo H. 18. Barreiro L. 9. Ivanovic F. 90. Lima I. 30. Otamendi N. 71. Santos L. 21. Schjelderup A. 1. Trubin A. (G) 68. Veloso J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Pavlidis V. ⚽, Rego J. (A),
29', Rego J. 🟨,
42', Alves R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rego J. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
46', Alves R. ↓, Simoes T. ↑,
59', Pereira H. ↓, Kusso D. ↑,
68', Bruno Rodrigues 🟨,
71', Barrenechea E. 🟨,
73', Kiko ↓, Wellington Carvalho ↑,
73', Bruno Rodrigues ↓, Tounkara M. ↑,
75', Lukebakio D. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, Pavlidis V. ⚽,
81', Paulo Victor ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
82', Pavlidis V. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 1.

Chaves has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Benfica has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Benfica is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:23. (average 0.4:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chaves won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Chaves
Portuguese Liga 2
04.10.25	Chaves - Vizela	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Farense - Chaves	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.25	Paredes - Chaves	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
14.09.25	Chaves - Feirense	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Penafiel - Chaves	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWTW
- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
05.10.25	Porto - Benfica	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Chelsea - Benfica	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
26.09.25	Benfica - Gil Vicente	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Benfica - Rio Ave	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	AVS - Benfica	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
29.03.24	Benfica - Chaves	1:0
04.11.23	Chaves - Benfica	0:2
15.04.23	Chaves - Benfica	1:0
29.10.22	Benfica - Chaves	5:0
25.02.19	Benfica - Chaves	4:0
27.09.18	Chaves - Benfica	2:2
20.01.18	Benfica - Chaves	3:0

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