Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 19

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Cruz do Reguengo (Vila Verde)


	Vilaverdense		Chaves B

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.05	3.8
	1.86	3.17	4.16	Watch
	1.95	2.8	3.8
	1.85	3.29	4.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.2)	3.08 ↓ (3.17)	4 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
47.8%

Draw
29.5%

Chaves B
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

28.6%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vilaverdense's performance.

Chaves B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chaves B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilaverdense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves B than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chaves B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vilaverdense - Chaves B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+10', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent performances by Vilaverdense have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chaves B is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Vilaverdense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vilaverdense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vilaverdense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Vilaverdense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Chaves B	4	3	0	1	5:4	1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
15.02.26	Limianos - Vilaverdense	4:1 ✺
07.02.26	Vilaverdense - Desportivo Monção	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Camacha - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Mirandela - Vilaverdense	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Vilaverdense - Ribeira Brava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLWT
- Desportivo Chaves B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
15.02.26	Chaves B - Camacha	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Machico - Chaves B	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Chaves B - Brito	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	São Martinho - Chaves B	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Chaves B - Vianense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
05.10.25	Chaves B - Vilaverdense	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.04.19	Chaves B - Vilaverdense	1:2
09.12.18	Vilaverdense - Chaves B	2:2

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