Match Info

FNL - Round 25

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Volgograd Arena (Volgograd)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Russia	MATCH! Planeta, Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Rotor		Fakel

	1	X	2
	5.29	2.94	1.93
	5.19	2.93	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↑ (3.55)	2.94 ↓ (2.95)	1.94 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotor
18.2%

Draw
32.5%

Fakel
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

32.2%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rotor's form might have worsened.

Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fakel's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Rotor - Fakel Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rotor will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Fakel will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fakel (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Chagrov N. (G) 80. Bardybakhin V. 97. Pokidyshev N. 11. Kleshchenko A. 17. Shilnikov G. 7. Safronov I. 6. Makarov S. (C) 5. Troshechkin A. 10. Simonyan A. 33. Arbuzov Y. 77. Eldarushev A.	96. Obukhov I. (G) 5. Gabaraev A. 55. Todorovic D. 44. Zhuravlev Y. 8. Bagamaev A. 23. Yakimov V. 52. Netfullin R. (C) 99. Giorgobiani N. 95. Gaponov I. 7. Gnapi Dable A. 19. Pusi B.
Substitutes
22. Aliev S. 44. Dadic T. 15. Danilkin E. 9. Davidyan D. 18. Kaynov M. 34. Khramtsov M. 2. Korotkov A. 99. Litvenok I. (G) 8. Makarov A. 69. Rodionov I. 50. Sugrobov V. (G) 90. Tsipushtanov M.	70. Abdokov N. 10. Alshin I. 25. Belyaev A. 2. Cherov V. 1. Frolkin D. (G) 97. Magomedov B. 11. Motpan N. 18. Simonov K. 9. Turishchev M. 93. Uridia M.
Coaches
Parfenov D.	Vasilenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Eldarushev A. ⚽,
27', Gabaraev A. 🟨,
40', Bagamaev A. ↓, Simonov K. ↑,
45', Todorovic D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gabaraev A. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
46', Netfullin R. ↓, Alshin I. ↑,
71', Safronov I. ↓, Danilkin E. ↑,
71', Arbuzov Y. ↓, Rodionov I. ↑,
72', Eldarushev A. ↓, Aliev S. ↑,
76', Simonyan A. ↓, Kaynov M. ↑,
79', 🟨,
80', Yakimov V. ↓, Uridia M. ↑,
80', Pusi B. ↓, Turishchev M. ↑,
83', Zhuravlev Y. 🟨,
83', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
84', Chagrov N. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotor won 1.

Rotor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fakel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fakel might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rotor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Rotor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

R. Volgograd: 1.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	R. Volgograd	12	5	2	5	20:14	6	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotor Volgograd
Russian FNL
14.03.26	KAMAZ - Rotor	1:1 ✺
09.03.26	Rotor - Ural	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Spartak Kostroma - Rotor	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.02.26	Rotor - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:3 ✺
17.02.26	Rotor - Surkhon Termez	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTTLL
- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
14.03.26	Fakel - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Fakel - Ural	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Fakel - Grafičar Beograd	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Fakel	Canceled ✺
Russian FNL
30.11.25	Fakel - Chelyabinsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWT?W

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
20.10.25	Fakel - Rotor	4:0
27.11.21	Rotor - Fakel	1:2
21.08.21	Fakel - Rotor	1:0
14.09.19	Rotor - Fakel	2:0
10.03.19	Fakel - Rotor	0:0
26.08.18	Rotor - Fakel	1:2
07.04.18	Rotor - Fakel	0:0

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