Match Info

FNL - Round 27

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Arsenal (Tula)

Referee: Fedotov S. (Rus)


	Arsenal Tula		Fakel

	1	X	2
	3.28	2.94	2.51
	3.15	2.9	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.56)	2.92 ↓ (3.04)	2.48 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Tula
29.4%

Draw
32.4%

Fakel
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

31.4%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Arsenal Tula - Fakel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Tsulaya M. (G) 4. Penchikov D. 3. Botaka-Yoboma E. 5. Putsko A. 8. Popov A. 14. Brnovic M. 99. Guliev A. 22. Tsaraev A. 10. Gorbunov I. 7. Reyes E. 24. Azyavin I.	96. Obukhov I. (G) 44. Zhuravlev Y. 20. Yurganov I. 5. Gabaraev A. 10. Alshin I. 8. Bagamaev A. 52. Netfullin R. 23. Yakimov V. 97. Magomedov B. 9. Turishchev M. 19. Pusi B.
Substitutes
17. Ahlinvi M. 31. Bolshakov K. 44. Isaenko O. 45. Karmaev N. 35. Kholin M. (G) 9. Maksimov M. 42. Melikhov A. (G) 27. Mirzov R. 95. Obryvkov S. 77. Plotnikov D. 21. Razdorskikh N. 50. Sokolov I.	70. Abdokov N. 25. Belyaev A. 2. Cherov V. 1. Frolkin D. (G) 95. Gaponov I. 99. Giorgobiani N. 7. Gnapi Dable A. 11. Motpan N. 18. Simonov K. 55. Todorovic D. 93. Uridia M.
Coaches
Gunko D.	Vasilenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Turishchev M. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Turishchev M. ⚽,
34', Gabaraev A. 🟨,
38', 1 - 2, Reyes E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Reyes E. ↓, Maksimov M. ↑,
52', Gorbunov I. 🟨,
62', 🟨,
62', Brnovic M. ↓, Ahlinvi M. ↑,
62', Guliev A. ↓, Razdorskikh N. ↑,
66', Turishchev M. ↓, Gnapi Dable A. ↑,
66', Alshin I. ↓, Todorovic D. ↑,
68', Yakimov V. 🟨,
68', Tsaraev A. 🟨,
73', Magomedov B. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,
75', Tsaraev A. ↓, Mirzov R. ↑,
83', Yakimov V. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
84', Pusi B. ↓, Uridia M. ↑,
88', Todorovic D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Fakel will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Arsenal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Arsenal Tula: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Arsenal Tula	12	3	4	5	12:22	-10	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
29.03.26	Arsenal Tula - Sokol Saratov	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Arsenal Tula	1:3 ✺
15.03.26	Ural - Arsenal Tula	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Arsenal Tula - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
05.03.26	Arsenal Tula - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLL
- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
01.04.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Fakel	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Fakel - KAMAZ	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Rotor - Fakel	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Fakel - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Fakel - Ural	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
30.10.25	Fakel - Arsenal Tula	2:3
Russian FNL
08.09.25	Fakel - Arsenal Tula	1:0
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Fakel - Arsenal Tula	2:1
Russian Cup
25.09.19	Fakel - Arsenal Tula	1:2
Russian FNL
15.05.16	Arsenal Tula - Fakel	1:0
01.11.15	Fakel - Arsenal Tula	3:1

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