Match Info

FNL - Round 28

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Location: Fakel Stadium (Voronezh)

Referee: Kashirin D. (Rus)


	Fakel		Rodina Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.24	3.05	4
	2.23	2.9	3.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.32)	2.98 ↑ (2.92)	3.98 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel
43.2%

Draw
32.5%

Rodina Moscow
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

32.7%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

33.9%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Fakel - Rodina Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rodina will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Obukhov I. (G) 20. Yurganov I. 55. Todorovic D. 44. Zhuravlev Y. 8. Bagamaev A. 97. Magomedov B. 10. Alshin I. 23. Yakimov V. 52. Netfullin R. (C) 9. Turishchev M. 19. Pusi B.	13. Volkov S. (G) 49. Dyatlov I. 55. Krizan M. 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 88. Sokol A. 6. Fishchenko R. 9. Maksimenko A. 5. Egorychev A. 10. Reyna Y. 18. Abdusalamov M. 99. Timoshenko I.
Substitutes
70. Abdokov N. 25. Belyaev A. 2. Cherov V. 1. Frolkin D. (G) 95. Gaponov I. 99. Giorgobiani N. 7. Gnapi Dable A. 11. Motpan N. 18. Simonov K. 93. Uridia M.	7. Arce S. 1. Aydarov S. (G) 17. Bakaev S. 22. Beskibalniy A. 80. Bessmertniy S. 8. Cissoko K. 96. Gharibyan A. 77. Koryan A. 38. Musaev L. 71. Svinov I. (G) 23. Ushatov K. 21. Yudintsev G.
Coaches
Vasilenko O.	Diaz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Timoshenko I. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Abdusalamov M. ⚽,
27', 0 - 3, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
30', Maksimenko A. 🟨,
44', Egorychev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alshin I. ↓, Gnapi Dable A. ↑,
46', Netfullin R. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,
49', Yurganov I. 🟨,
53', Egorychev A. ↓, Musaev L. ↑,
53', Maksimenko A. ↓, Bakaev S. ↑,
56', Yakimov V. 🟨,
64', Bagamaev A. ↓, Simonov K. ↑,
64', Turishchev M. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
64', Abdusalamov M. ↓, Bessmertniy S. ↑,
65', Timoshenko I. ↓, Cissoko K. ↑,
74', Yakimov V. ↓, Uridia M. ↑,
77', Reyna Y. ↓, Koryan A. ↑,
86', 1 - 3, Pusi B. ⚽,
89', Fishchenko R. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In recent matches, Fakel has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rodina is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rodina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fakel could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
05.04.26	Arsenal Tula - Fakel	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Fakel	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Fakel - KAMAZ	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Rotor - Fakel	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Fakel - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWTLT
- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
05.04.26	Sokol Saratov - Rodina Moscow	1:3 ✺
29.03.26	Rodina Moscow - Ural	3:1 ✺
23.03.26	Rodina Moscow - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	5:2 ✺
14.03.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Rodina Moscow	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Torpedo Moscow - Rodina Moscow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
15.09.25	Rodina Moscow - Fakel	2:0
Russian FNL Cup
17.02.20	Rodina Moscow - Fakel	2:0

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