Match Info

FNL - Round 13

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday

Location: KAMAZ Stadium (Naberezhnye Chelny)

Referee: Kaplenkov I. (Rus)


	KAMAZ		Ural

	1	X	2
	3.56	3.17	2.23
	4.02	3.32	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↓ (4.17)	3.25 ↓ (3.43)	2.12 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KAMAZ
25.3%

Draw
29.5%

Ural
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

27.6%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

27.4%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KAMAZ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KAMAZ than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	36.4%	54.5%

KAMAZ - Ural Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. KAMAZ will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Ural will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ural: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ural (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Anisimov A. (G) 10. Zashchepkin R. 3. Marugin D. 18. Tananeev D. 7. Ayukin R. (C) 2. Khubaev D. 27. Manuylov R. 28. Sultonov M. 11. Apekov R. 19. Golybin R. 59. Motorin D. N.	71. Mamin A. (G) 2. Begic S. (C) 16. Italo 4. Bardachev M. 14. Zheleznov Y. 13. Akbashev R. 22. Leo Cordeiro 37. Bondarev V. 59. Kharin E. 97. Ishkov I. 10. Sekulic M.
Substitutes
14. Abdullaev S. 17. Abdullahi S. 15. Burko M. 53. Deryugin A. 6. Kalistratov T. 9. Karaev D. 5. Ratnikov S. 79. Semenov V. 24. Shamkin D. 22. Solodukhin A. 21. Yudintsev G. 30. Zamerets E. (G)	5. Ayupov T. 24. Filipenko E. 11. Karapuzov V. 74. Kiselev D. 46. Mamin A. 20. Markov E. 17. Miguel G. 18. Morozov N. 42. Mosin E. 1. Oparin M. (G) 6. Sungatulin F. 50. Voronov M.
Coaches
Akhmetzyanov I.	Romashchenko M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Motorin D. N. ⚽,
19', Khubaev D. 🟨,
23', 2 - 0, Sultonov M. ⚽,
28', Kharin E. 🟨,
42', 3 - 0, Apekov R. ⚽,
45', 3 - 1, Ishkov I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Zheleznov Y. ↓, Mosin E. ↑,
56', Akbashev R. ↓, Karapuzov V. ↑,
56', Tananeev D. 🟨,
60', 4 - 1, Motorin D. N. ⚽,
64', Bondarev V. ↓, Sungatulin F. ↑,
64', Ishkov I. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,
68', Golybin R. ↓, Karaev D. ↑,
68', Motorin D. N. ↓, Shamkin D. ↑,
75', Sultonov M. ↓, Abdullahi S. ↑,
76', Apekov R. ↓, Abdullaev S. ↑,
76', Sekulic M. ↓, Markov E. ↑,
87', Zashchepkin R. ↓, Ratnikov S. ↑,
90', 5 - 1, Karaev D. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Ural is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, KAMAZ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, KAMAZ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
Russian FNL
29.09.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
25.09.25	KAMAZ - Spartak Kostroma	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
20.09.25	KAMAZ - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Rotor - KAMAZ	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	KAMAZ - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTLT
- FK Ural
Russian FNL
29.09.25	Ural - SKA Khabarovsk	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
23.09.25	Dinskaya - Ural	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL
20.09.25	Ural - Rotor	0:0 ✺
15.09.25	Ufa - Ural	2:3 ✺
08.09.25	Ural - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
05.04.25	Ural - KAMAZ	2:1
21.09.24	KAMAZ - Ural	0:2
Russian Cup
27.10.21	KAMAZ - Ural	1:0

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