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Current Win Probability
Ural 63.1%
Draw 23.7%
Veles Moscow 13.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.7%
27.6%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
26.4%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ural's performance.
Veles Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Veles Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ural that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Veles Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ural - Veles Moscow Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
57. Selikhov A. (G) 2. Begic S. 99. Fourrier B. 97. Ishkov I. 16. Italo 17. Karapuzov V. 13. Kaynov M. 24. Korotkov A. 10. Sekulic M. 6. Sungatulin F. 15. Tikhiy D.
41. Samok S. (G) 90. Galkin V. 5. Koloskov A. 11. Korolkov K. 87. Nikin I. 15. Pliev K. 97. Shubin A. 23. Skvortsov K. 77. Smirnov O. 8. Tarasenko Z. 22. Zavezen Y. (C)
Substitutes
11. Bokov D. 37. Bondarev V. 59. Kharin E. 86. Kuznetsov I. (G) 18. Morozov N. 35. Prishchepa D. 43. Shoronov R. 5. Stezhko V.
99. Abdokov N. 10. Bammatgereev M. 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 9. Giraev K. 17. Kotov P. 94. Kuchugura D. 76. Kuptsov I. (G) 6. Melikov I. 7. Murza A. 88. Sadov D. 18. Sergeev D. 70. Zakharzhevskiy M.
Coaches
Yuran S.
Stukalov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
5', Pliev K. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Tikhiy D. (Own goal),
23', 0 - 2, Koloskov A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kaynov M. ↓, Bondarev V. ↑,
46', Karapuzov V. ↓, Kharin E. ↑,
47', Shubin A. 🟨,
54', Ishkov I. 🟨,
58', Korolkov K. 🟨,
60', Korotkov A. ↓, Morozov N. ↑,
60', Fourrier B. ↓, Bokov D. ↑,
60', Nikin I. ↓, Melikov I. ↑,
60', Tarasenko Z. ↓, Giraev K. ↑,
60', Korolkov K. ↓, Murza A. ↑,
62', Begic S. 🟨,
66', 1 - 2, Begic S. ⚽,
66', Shubin A. ↓, Kuchugura D. ↑,
74', Galkin V. ↓, Abdokov N. ↑,
80', Abdokov N. 🟨,
90+3', Sungatulin F. 🟨,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Premier League and 5th).
Ural is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Veles is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Ural could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Ural has faced a series of away games on the road.
Ural holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Ural has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Ural
15
8
4
3
25:11
14
28
6
Veles Moscow
16
8
3
5
20:19
1
27
Outrights of Russian FNL for now
Ural: 4.42% Veles Moscow: 0.8%
Last Results with these Odds
Ural - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 50.66%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Belarus
Russia
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Selikhov A. (G) 
Begic S. 
Fourrier B. 
Italo 
Prishchepa D. 
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