Match Info

National League South - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday


	Chelmsford City		Chesham United

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	2.9
	2.18	3.3	3
	2.16	3.38	3.27
	1.13	8.11	15.00	Watch
	1.75	3.6	3.75
	2.2	3.28	3.09
	1.75	3.65	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.75)	4.07 ↑ (3.74)	4.98 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
54.1%

Draw
25.3%

Chesham United
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

24.7%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

25.5%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Chelmsford City - Chesham United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chesham (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, McDonagh-Kudiabor L. ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, Longe-King D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 2 - 1, Lench M. ⚽,
75', 🟥,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Chelmsford will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Chelmsford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmsford City - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.81%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English National League South
25.08.25	Maidstone United - Chelmsford City	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Chelmsford City	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Weston-super-Mare - Chelmsford City	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Chelmsford City - Horsham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLTW
- Chesham United
English National League South
25.08.25	Chesham United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Tonbridge Angels - Chesham United	0:0 ✺
19.08.25	Chesham United - Horsham	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Chesham United - Farnborough	3:2 ✺
09.08.25	Maidenhead United - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
01.02.25	Chelmsford City - Chesham United	1:1
21.01.25	Chesham United - Chelmsford City	2:2

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