Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Stamford Bridge (London)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
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Italy	Sky Sport 255
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Mexico	Disney+
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Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
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United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	VIX App


	Chelsea		Djurgården

	1	X	2
	1.27	6.25	9
	1.14	8	14
	1.27	5.95	11	Watch
	1.27	6.4	10.79
	1.29	6.23	10.07	Watch
	1.3	6.52	9.39
	1.27	5.95	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.35)	6.47 ↑ (4.7)	10.75 ↑ (8.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
76.2%

Draw
14.8%

Djurgården
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

19.9%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

19%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelsea's performance.

Djurgården has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.3%	20%	16.7%

Chelsea - Djurgården Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 19 - 63.3%). Djurgården will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 46.1% – 80.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Djurgården (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.25 - Chelsea (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Djurgården (1.69) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Djurgården (3.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Djurgården (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jorgensen F. (G) 27. Gusto M. 4. Adarabioyo T. 5. Badiashile B. 3. Cucurella M. 34. Acheampong J. 24. James R. (C) 81. Walsh R. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 19. Sancho J. 32. George T.	35. Rinne J. (G) 27. Kosugi K. 5. Tenho M. 4. Une-Larsson J. (C) 19. Bergh V. 14. Finndell H. 13. Stensson D. 16. Gulliksen T. 26. Priske A. 29. Haarala S. 20. Nguen T.
Substitutes
64. Antwi G. 47. Bergstrom L. (G) 25. Caicedo M. 23. Chalobah T. 6. Colwill L. 8. Fernandez E. 15. Jackson N. 11. Madueke N. 76. Mheuka S. 7. Neto P. 20. Palmer C. 1. Sanchez R. (G)	32. Alemayehu Mulugeta I. 36. Atlee A. 40. Croon M. (G) 3. Danielson M. 37. Selfven C. 38. Vucenovic M.
Coaches
Maresca E.	Honkavaara J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Adarabioyo T. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Dewsbury-Hall K. ⚽, George T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cucurella M. ↓, Mheuka S. ↑,
53', Stensson D. 🟨,
63', Haarala S. ↓, Alemayehu Mulugeta I. ↑,
63', Une-Larsson J. ↓, Danielson M. ↑,
70', Sancho J. ↓, Antwi G. ↑,
70', James R. ↓, Chalobah T. ↑,
81', Stensson D. ↓, Vucenovic M. ↑,
86', Finndell H. ↓, Selfven C. ↑,
86', Gulliksen T. ↓, Atlee A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 4-1. 2nd leg.

Chelsea is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Djurgården has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Djurgården has had a series of home games.

In this match, Chelsea is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Chelsea: Fofana D. D. (Knee Injury) Fofana W. (Hamstring Injury) Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Lavia R. (Inactive) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Nkunku C. (Knock)

There will not play in Djurgården: Aslund P. (Injury) Fallenius O. (Injury) Johansson P. (Inactive) Manojlovic F. (Inactive) Marques M. (Inactive) Nilsson M. (Elbow Injury) Sawo Z. (Inactive) Schuller R. (Injury) Siltanen M. (Inactive) Zugelj N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Guiu M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chelsea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea
English Premier League
04.05.25	Chelsea - Liverpool	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.05.25	Djurgården - Chelsea	1:4 ✺
English Premier League
26.04.25	Chelsea - Everton	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Fulham - Chelsea	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.04.25	Chelsea - Legia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWL
- Djurgårdens IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
04.05.25	Djurgården - AIK	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.05.25	Djurgården - Chelsea	1:4 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.04.25	Djurgården - Öster	1:0 ✺
21.04.25	Djurgården - GAIS	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.04.25	Rapid Wien - Djurgården	1:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
01.05.25	Djurgården - Chelsea	1:4

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