Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stamford Bridge (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	16:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	11:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Star Sports 3 Asia, TOD
Australia	01:00	Stan Sport
Austria	16:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	18:00	Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	20:00	Toffee Live
Belgium	16:00	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	10:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	17:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	22:00	Migu
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport 4, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	09:00	ESPN
Estonia	17:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	17:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	16:00	Canal+ Live 6, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	18:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	16:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	22:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	16:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	14:00	SÝN Sport 2
India	19:30	Disney+ Hotstar, JioStar, JioTV app, Star Sports 3
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Ireland	15:00	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Israel	17:00	Sport 2
Italy	16:00	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	23:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	17:00	Gotv
Kosovo	16:00	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	20:00	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	17:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	19:00	Medianet
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	08:00	FOX One
Moldova	17:00	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	20:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	19:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	15:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	16:00	Arena Premium 1
Norway	16:00	TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	09:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	22:00	Setanta Sports
Poland	16:00	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	15:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	17:00	Voyo
Serbia	16:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	22:00	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 5
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	23:00	Coupang Play
Spain	16:00	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	16:00	Sky Sport Premier League
Tajikistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	17:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	17:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	NBCSN, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo
Uzbekistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Vietnam	21:00	FPT Play


	Chelsea		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.80	4.10
	1.80	4.00	4.00
	1.78	3.95	4.25
	1.89	4.01	4.10
	1.85	4.2	3.96	Watch
	1.85	3.95	4.00
	1.81	3.84	4.36	Watch
	1.81	4.10	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.78)	3.98 ↓ (4.38)	4.11 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
52.5%

Draw
24.1%

Bournemouth
23.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.9%

21.9%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

22.6%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Bournemouth aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.3%	12.9%	4.8%

Chelsea - Bournemouth Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Chelsea (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.60) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.60) (votes: 96%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (51 of 62 users predict this - 82.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 91.77%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez E. (G) 34. Acheampong J. 5. Lacroix M. 6. Colwill L. (C) 7. Neto P. 14. Henderson J. 25. Caicedo M. 29. Chavarria P. 10. Palmer C. 9. Joao Pedro 17. Rogers M.	1. Petrovic D. (G) 15. Smith A. (C) 5. Hill J. 14. Silva A. 3. Truffert A. 12. Adams T. 10. Christie R. 7. Brooks D. 37. Rayan 16. Tavernier M. 9. Evanilson
Substitutes
41. Estêvão 3. Fofana W. 27. Gusto M. 21. Hato J. 45. Lavia R. 2. Palestra M. 39. Penders M. (G) 23. Quenda G. 18. Welbeck D.	4. Cook L. 18. Diakite B. 20. Di Gregorio M. (G) 11. Gannon-Doak B. 29. Jebbison D. 30. Rodriguez A. 24. Sanchez J. 6. Soler J. 27. Toth A.
Coaches
Alonso X.	Rose M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Henderson J. ⚽, Palmer C. (A),
3', 2 - 0, Rogers M. ⚽, Henderson J. (A),
10', Tavernier M. 🟨,
42', Truffert A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Brooks D. ↓, Gannon-Doak B. ↑,
46', 3 - 0, Joao Pedro ⚽, Neto P. (A),
51', 3 - 1, Evanilson ⚽,
62', Adams T. 🟨,
67', 4 - 1, Joao Pedro ⚽, Chavarria P. (A),
69', Christie R. 🟨,
70', 5 - 1, Henderson J. ⚽,
72', Caicedo M. ↓, Lavia R. ↑,
72', Joao Pedro ↓, Palestra M. ↑,
72', Tavernier M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
72', Smith A. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
73', Christie R. ↓, Cook L. ↑,
83', Neto P. ↓, Welbeck D. ↑,
84', Rogers M. ↓, Estêvão ↑,
84', Truffert A. ↓, Soler J. ↑,
88', Palmer C. ↓, Gusto M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 10th and 17th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this matchup, Chelsea is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Chelsea: Gittens J. (Ankle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Bournemouth: Adli A. (Calf Injury) Araujo J. (Thigh Injury) Kluivert J. (Muscle Injury) Kroupi E. J. (Foot Injury) Milosavljevic V. (Injury) Scott A. (Thigh Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Chelsea: Caicedo M. (Calf Injury) Emegha E. (Muscle Injury) Joao Pedro (Knee Injury) Palestra M. (Thigh Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Bournemouth: Brooks D. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea has recorded 12 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:20 (averaging 1.6:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chelsea against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:10 goals (averaging 1.6:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Chelsea	8	4	1	3	17:15	2	13
13	Bournemouth	8	2	3	3	12:13	-1	9

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Chelsea: 6.16% Bournemouth: 0.43%

Last Results with these Odds

Chelsea - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 53.92%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea
English Premier League
18.09.26	Brentford - Chelsea	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Chelsea - Hull City	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
09.09.26	Chelsea - Leeds United	6:3 ✺
English Premier League
06.09.26	Arsenal - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTWLW
- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
20.09.26	Bournemouth - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Real Sociedad - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Bournemouth - Brentford	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.09.26	Bournemouth - Lincoln City	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
05.09.26	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
30.12.25	Chelsea - Bournemouth	2:2
06.12.25	Bournemouth - Chelsea	0:0
14.01.25	Chelsea - Bournemouth	2:2
14.09.24	Bournemouth - Chelsea	0:1
19.05.24	Chelsea - Bournemouth	2:1
17.09.23	Bournemouth - Chelsea	0:0
06.05.23	Bournemouth - Chelsea	1:3

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