The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cheltenham Town 42.3%
Draw 26.6%
Accrington Stanley 31.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
27.2%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
26.1%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cheltenham: 29.6% – 90.4%.
1. Day J. (G) 24. Sherring S. 17. Bennett S. (C) 30. Willcox F. 2. Jude-Boyd A. 4. Kinsella L. 8. Young L. 22. Archer E. 21. Hutchinson I. 10. Miller G. 9. Angol L.
13. Wright O. (G) 2. Love D. (C) 14. Ward B. 17. Matthews D. 10. Henderson A. 6. Coyle L. 22. Martin D. 15. Pye L. 30. Heath I. 23. Walton T. 8. Madden P.
Substitutes
20. Bickerstaff J. 14. Broom R. 41. Diallo M. (G) 3. Harmon G. 16. Martin J. 12. Power D. 15. Taylor T.
16. Bauress J. 20. Brown C. 18. Caton C. 28. Conneely S. 1. Kelly M. (G) 9. Mooney K. 11. Sinclair I.
Coaches
Flynn M.
Doolan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Hutchinson I. ⚽,
20', Matthews D. 🟨,
30', Love D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Madden P. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
59', Love D. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
59', Henderson A. ↓, Sinclair I. ↑,
65', Young L. 🟨,
65', Martin D. ↓, Bauress J. ↑,
68', Walton T. 🟨,
72', Coyle L. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
75', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, Power D. ↑,
82', Willcox F. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
82', Hutchinson I. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
90+1', Miller G. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 1.
Cheltenham has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Accrington has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Accrington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T.
(Inactive)
Cundy R.
(Injury)
Pell H.
(Inactive)
Thomas J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Accrington: Whalley S.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Cheltenham: Power D.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Accrington: Matthews D.
(Injury)
Rawson F.
(Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Accrington Stanley - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.84%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.