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Current Win Probability
Salford City 52.1%
Draw 25.3%
Accrington Stanley 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.2%
24.4%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.3%
23.5%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salford City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
44.4%
11.1%
Salford City - Accrington Stanley Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Accrington will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 11.9% – 76.9%.
1. Young M. (G) 6. Turton O. 22. Oluwo A. 29. Garbutt L. (C) 45. Longelo-Mbule R. 8. Grant J. 17. Austerfield J. 7. Woodburn B. 14. Harris K. 21. Cesay K. 11. Bird J.
1. Kelly M. (G) 17. Matthews D. 5. Rawson F. (C) 14. Ward B. 20. Brown C. 6. Coyle L. 16. Bauress J. 3. Sass F. 11. Sinclair I. 9. Mooney K. 39. Woods J.
Substitutes
2. Ayina L. 34. Butt R. 32. Curran-Nichols J. 12. Edwards T. 33. Howard M. (G) 30. Malcolm K. 9. Stockton C.
18. Caton C. 28. Conneely S. 22. Martin D. 19. Popoola A. 31. Tunstall F. 23. Walton T. 13. Wright O. (G)
Coaches
Robinson K.
Doolan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Woodburn B. ⚽, Harris K. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Garbutt L. ⚽,
43', Garbutt L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mooney K. ↓, Walton T. ↑,
54', Walton T. 🟨,
69', Bauress J. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
69', Brown C. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
70', Bird J. ↓, Stockton C. ↑,
77', Woods J. ↓, Popoola A. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Walton T. (Pen),
90', Woodburn B. ↓, Malcolm K. ↑,
90+1', Longelo-Mbule R. ↓, Edwards T. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salford won 2.
Recent performances by Salford have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Accrington is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Accrington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, Salford is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Salford: Ashley O.
(Inactive)
Berkoe K.
(Inactive)
Chesters D.
(Inactive)
Mnoga H.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Accrington: Henderson A.
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Salford won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Salford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).