The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cheltenham Town 22.1%
Draw 27.1%
Bolton Wanderers 50.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.9%
29.5%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.6%
29.2%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheltenham Town's form might have worsened.
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolton Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
4.5%
77.3%
Cheltenham Town - Bolton Wanderers Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Bolton will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 59.8% โ 94.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Southwood L. (G) 2. Long S. (C) 33. Davies C. 6. Freestone L. 22. Smith L. 8. Sercombe L. 10. Keena A. 14. Thompson C. 3. Williams B. 7. Hammond O. 11. Street R.
1. Baxter N. (G) 2. Jones G. 5. Santos R. (C) 3. Iredale J. 8. Sheehan J. 12. Cogley J. 16. Morley A. 22. Dempsey K. 27. Williams R. 10. Charles D. 14. Adeboyejo V.
Substitutes
16. Adshead D. 4. Bradbury T. 18. Chapman E. 15. Ferry W. 9. Goodwin W. 20. Harris M. (G) 17. Olayinka J.
26. Ashworth Z. 15. Forrester W. 35. Jerome C. 19. Maghoma P. 7. Mendes Gomes C. 11. N'Lundulu D. 4. Thomason G.
Coaches
Elliott W.
Evatt I.
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 1.
Cheltenham is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Bolton in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Bolton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently opponents have a series of home games.
In this match Bolton is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.
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Southwood L. (G) 
Long S. (C) 
Davies C. 
Smith L. 
Williams B. 
Santos R. (C) 
Iredale J. 
Adeboyejo V. 
Mendes Gomes C. 
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