Match Info

League Two - Round 37

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: The Croud Meadow (Shrewsbury)

Referee: Sandoe L. (Eng)


	Shrewsbury Town		Cheltenham Town

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.4	3.6
	2.02	3.35	3.55
	2.06	3.49	3.65
	2.02	3.27	3.72	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	2.02	3.34	3.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.88)	3.33 ↑ (3.27)	3.6 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
46.1%

Draw
28%

Cheltenham Town
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

28.2%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

27.9%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Shrewsbury Town - Cheltenham Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shrewsbury: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Shrewsbury (votes: 3 - 60%). Cheltenham (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cox M. (G) 20. Kabia I. 4. Anderson T. 5. Boyle W. (C) 26. Stubbs S. 30. Berkoe K. 7. McDermott T. 10. Sang T. 14. Perry T. 19. Morgan I. 21. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T.	1. Day J. (G) 24. Sherring S. 6. Cundy R. 5. Wilson J. (C) 27. Tomkinson J. 26. Stevenson B. 11. Thomas J. 8. Young L. 23. Hutchinson I. 20. Bickerstaff J. 9. Davison J.
Substitutes
3. Benning M. 12. Brook W. (G) 16. Freeman N. 43. Gray W. 23. Lee I. 9. Lloyd G. 11. Scully A.	4. Ashfield H. 14. Broom R. 7. Deeming C. 41. Diallo M. (G) 2. Jude-Boyd A. 10. Miller G. 21. Nurse G.
Coaches
Cowan G.	Cotterill S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Cundy R. 🟨,
19', Young L. 🟨,
35', Perry T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Anderson T. ↓, Benning M. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Thomas J. ⚽, Davison J. (A),
64', McDermott T. ↓, Lloyd G. ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Sherring S. ⚽, Young L. (A),
77', Stevenson B. ↓, Ashfield H. ↑,
77', Morgan I. ↓, Scully A. ↑,
77', Perry T. ↓, Freeman N. ↑,
80', Thomas J. ↓, Jude-Boyd A. ↑,
83', Davison J. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
84', Hutchinson I. ↓, Deeming C. ↑,
84', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
90+2', Day J. 🟨,
90+8', Berkoe K. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 17 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 1.

Shrewsbury is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cheltenham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Shrewsbury is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Shrewsbury: Hoole L. (Injury) Ihionvien B. (Inactive) Marquis J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Cheltenham: King T. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Shrewsbury won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Cheltenham: 1.26% Shrewsbury: 0.72%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Cheltenham	10	4	3	3	16:16	0	15
18	Shrewsbury	10	3	2	5	9:15	-6	11

Last Results with these Odds

Cheltenham Town - the odds 4.04 are the expected chance of winning is 22.78%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English League Two
07.03.26	Chesterfield - Shrewsbury Town	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Shrewsbury Town - Walsall	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Salford City - Shrewsbury Town	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Accrington Stanley - Shrewsbury Town	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Shrewsbury Town - Notts County	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WLWWW
- Cheltenham Town
English League Two
10.03.26	Fleetwood Town - Cheltenham Town	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	Cheltenham Town - Barrow	2:2 ✺
27.02.26	Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Cheltenham Town - Salford City	3:2 ✺
17.02.26	Bromley - Cheltenham Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
26.12.25	Cheltenham Town - Shrewsbury Town	3:1
English League One
26.12.23	Cheltenham Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:0
05.08.23	Shrewsbury Town - Cheltenham Town	1:0
29.12.22	Shrewsbury Town - Cheltenham Town	0:1
01.10.22	Cheltenham Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:0
18.12.21	Shrewsbury Town - Cheltenham Town	3:1
20.11.21	Cheltenham Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:1

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