The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cheltenham Town 29.2%
Draw 27.1%
Fleetwood Town 43.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.8%
26.8%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
26.2%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheltenham Town's form might have worsened.
Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fleetwood Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fleetwood Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
0%
85.7%
Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Stanway W. (G) 3. Tomkinson J. 6. Wilson J. (C) 25. Sweeney P. 33. Willcox F. 7. Stevenson B. 19. Evans J. 9. Otchere K. 8. McCann C. 26. Shipley J. 18. Weimann A.
1. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. (C) 6. Bennett R. 5. Potter F. 4. Neal H. 14. McCann L. 15. Murphy A. 10. Helm M. 24. Batty J. 19. Coughlan R. 9. Davies W.
Substitutes
11. Bickerstaff J. 14. Broom R. 31. Diallo M. (G) 10. Miller G. 21. Nurse G. 20. Onukwuli F.
29. Cirino R. 17. Evans C. 16. Haughey C. 20. Loupalo-Bi A. 27. McLean C. 22. Pradic J. (G) 28. Robertson J.
Coaches
Cotterill S.
Lawlor M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
11', Murphy A. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Lynch J. (Own goal),
20', Stevenson B. 🟨,
25', 2 - 0, Otchere K. ⚽,
31', Rooney S. 🟨,
39', 3 - 0, Evans J. ⚽, McCann C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Davies W. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
46', Murphy A. ↓, McLean C. ↑,
46', Coughlan R. ↓, Haughey C. ↑,
50', 3 - 1, Evans C. ⚽, McLean C. (A),
64', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
65', 3 - 2, Evans C. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Cotterill S. 🟨,
74', Otchere K. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
76', McCann L. ↓, Loupalo-Bi A. ↑,
80', 4 - 2, Willcox F. ⚽,
84', Evans J. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
85', Shipley J. ↓, Nurse G. ↑,
88', Weimann A. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
88', Potter F. ↓, Cirino R. ↑,
89', Bennett R. 🟨,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 8th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Cheltenham may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Fleetwood has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Fleetwood holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Cheltenham: McWilliams S.
(Yellow Cards)
Tomlinson J.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Fleetwood: Thompson-Sommers K.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Fleetwood: Andrew D.
(Inactive)
Cannon A.
(Inactive).
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Cheltenham has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:17 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cheltenham against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 8:8 goals (averaging 1.1:1.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Cheltenham
13
6
3
4
22:22
0
21
18
Fleetwood
13
3
5
5
15:17
-2
14
Outrights of English League Two for now
Cheltenham: 1.61%
Last Results with these Odds
Cheltenham Town - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 35.84%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
Fleetwood Town - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.32%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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Stanway W. (G) 
Tomkinson J. 
Wilson J. (C) 
Sweeney P. 
Otchere K. 
McCann C. 
Weimann A. 
Rooney S. (C) 
Cirino R. 
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