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Current Win Probability
Cheltenham Town 29.9%
Draw 26.2%
Chesterfield 43.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.6%
25.7%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
25.2%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Cheltenham Town - Chesterfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Stanway W. (G) 3. Tomkinson J. 5. Cundy R. 25. Sweeney P. 4. Tomlinson J. 7. Stevenson B. (C) 19. Evans J. 14. Broom R. 8. McCann C. 26. Shipley J. 18. Weimann A.
23. Boot R. (G) 33. Hutton R. 5. McFadzean K. (C) 6. Simpson J. 19. Gordon L. 20. McEachran G. 8. Stirk R. 24. Markanday D. 18. Marsh L. 31. Randall J. 10. Bonis L.
Substitutes
11. Bickerstaff J. 1. Day J. (G) 10. Miller G. 21. Nurse G. 9. Otchere K. 33. Willcox F. 6. Wilson J.
9. Bryden F. 11. Duffy D. 27. Dyer K. 26. Eccleston J. 7. Mandeville L. 4. Naylor T. 46. Pearce T.
Coaches
Cotterill S.
Cook P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Sweeney P. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, McCann C. ⚽, Broom R. (A),
37', 2 - 0, Weimann A. ⚽, Tomkinson J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 2 - 1, Marsh L. ⚽,
55', Shipley J. 🟨,
59', Evans J. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
70', Bonis L. ↓, Bryden F. ↑,
78', Sweeney P. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
78', Randall J. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
78', McEachran G. ↓, Dyer K. ↑,
78', Gordon L. ↓, Pearce T. ↑,
84', Weimann A. 🟨,
86', Weimann A. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
87', Broom R. ↓, Otchere K. ↑,
87', Shipley J. ↓, Willcox F. ↑,
87', Marsh L. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
89', Willcox F. 🟨,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ League Two PlayoffsSemi~finals) and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 1.
Cheltenham is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Chesterfield is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Cheltenham could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Chesterfield has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Chesterfield is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Cheltenham: Onukwuli F.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Chesterfield: Dickson W.
(Inactive)
Hemming Z.
(Inactive)
Sotiriou R.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Chesterfield: Owolabi-Belewu M.
(Inactive).
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Cheltenham has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:15 (averaging 0.8:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cheltenham against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 4:7 goals (averaging 0.8:1.4 per game).
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Stanway W. (G) 
Tomkinson J. 
Sweeney P. 
Broom R. 
McCann C. 
Weimann A. 
Gordon L. 
Otchere K. 
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