The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Notts County 66.2%
Draw 20.8%
Harrogate Town 13%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.4%
21.9%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.2%
21.3%
16.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
11.1%
11.1%
Notts County - Harrogate Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 56.3% – 96.7%.
1. Roos K. (G) 28. Macari L. 12. Ness L. 4. Bedeau J. (C) 25. Tsaroulla N. 20. Robertson S. 14. Iorpenda T. 47. Bennetts K. 11. Grant C. 26. Hall T. 29. Jatta A.
31. Belshaw J. (G) 2. Asare Z. 15. O'Connor A. 6. Burrell W. (C) 17. Sutton L. 27. Fox B. 8. Morris B. 21. Taylor E. 18. Muldoon J. 22. Smith R. 25. Cursons T.
Substitutes
19. Dennis M. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 36. Jarvis W. 17. Kouhyar Q. 8. Norburn O. 18. Palmer M. 5. Platt M.
35. Etherington M. 9. McCoulsky S. 1. Oxley M. (G)
Coaches
Paterson M.
Weaver S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Cursons T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Iorpenda T. ↓, Palmer M. ↑,
59', Sutton L. 🟨,
61', Grant C. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
61', Bennetts K. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
71', Fox B. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
77', McCoulsky S. 🟨,
80', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Dennis M. (Pen),
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 21).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.
Notts County has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Harrogate is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Notts County is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Notts County: Bedeau J.
(Yellow Cards)
Gordon K.
(Knee Injury)
Luker J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Harrogate: Barnes L.
(Inactive)
Bennett M.
(Inactive)
Cass L.
(Ankle Injury)
Thomson G.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Notts County: McDonald R.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Harrogate: Gibson L.
(Injury)
Hill T.
(Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Notts County - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.38%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Harrogate Town - the odds 5.53 are the expected chance of winning is 16.76%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Roos K. (G) 
Macari L. 
Ness L. 
Bedeau J. (C) 
Tsaroulla N. 
Bennetts K. 
Grant C. 
Jatta A. 
Kouhyar Q. 
Paterson M. 
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