Match Info

League Two - Round 19

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Exercise Stadium (Harrogate)

Referee: Eley R. (Eng)


	Harrogate Town		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.45	3.35	2.08	Watch
	3.53	3.49	2.1
	3.19	3.33	2.19	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.1
	3.5	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.33	3.4	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (3.25)	3.33 ↑ (3.2)	2.11 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
27.5%

Draw
28.1%

Accrington Stanley
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

28.2%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

28.2%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Accrington will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Accrington (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (G) 3. Slater J. 15. O'Connor A. 6. Burrell W. 2. Asare Z. 4. Evans J. (C) 27. Fox B. 22. Smith R. 18. Muldoon J. 17. Sutton L. 25. Cursons T.	13. Wright O. (G) 17. Matthews D. 5. Rawson F. 14. Ward B. 2. Love D. 16. Bauress J. 28. Conneely S. (C) 30. Heath I. 8. Madden P. 11. Sinclair I. 7. Whalley S.
Substitutes
11. Duke-McKenna S. 28. Etherington M. 44. Falkingham J. 23. Jameson K. 14. McAleny C. 9. McCoulsky S. 1. Oxley M. (G)	20. Brown C. 18. Caton C. 4. Grant C. 1. Kelly M. (G) 22. Martin D. 38. O'Brien C.
Coaches
Weaver S.	Doolan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Sutton L. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Madden P. ⚽, Love D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cursons T. ↓, Duke-McKenna S. ↑,
54', Duke-McKenna S. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Ward B. ⚽, Sinclair I. (A),
66', Sutton L. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
76', Conneely S. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
80', Ward B. ↓, O'Brien C. ↑,
82', Fox B. 🟨,
90+2', Madden P. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 17).

Recent performances by Harrogate have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Accrington is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Accrington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Accrington has had a series of home games.

Accrington might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Harrogate: Barnes L. (Inactive) Bennett M. (Inactive) Bradbury T. (Inactive) Cass L. (Ankle Injury) Faulkner B. (Inactive) Gibson L. (Injury) Hill T. (Injury) Taylor E. (Inactive) Thomson G. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Accrington: Hall C. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Inactive) Sass F. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Accrington: Coyle L. (Injury) Walton T. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 2.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 2.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Harrogate Town - Blackpool	4:2 ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Barnet - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Harrogate Town - Walsall	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Notts County - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Harrogate Town - Newcastle United U21	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WTLTW
- Accrington Stanley
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Accrington Stanley - Mansfield Town	2:3 penalties ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Crawley Town - Accrington Stanley	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Accrington Stanley - Leeds United U21	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
01.03.25	Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley	2:1
17.08.24	Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town	3:3
26.12.23	Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley	2:1
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley	3:5
English League Two
19.08.23	Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town	2:1

Upcoming Matches