Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Oxford United		Maidenhead United

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.5	11
	1.25	6.5	10.5
	1.2	6	12
	1.23	6.35	11.3
	1.23	6.35	11.3
	1.18	6	13
	1.22	6.3	12	Watch
	1.23	6.2	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.43)	6.28 ↑ (4.78)	11.51 ↑ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford United
76.8%

Draw
15%

Maidenhead United
8.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.6%

19.6%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

18.8%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oxford United's performance.

Maidenhead United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maidenhead United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oxford United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maidenhead United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oxford United - Maidenhead United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Eastwood S. (G) 28. Negru S. 5. Moore E. 4. Thorniley J. 7. Mills S. 6. McEachran J. 8. Brannagan C. 22. Leigh G. 19. Goodrham T. 9. Harris M. 10. Bodin B.	13. Ross C. (G) 2. Asare Z. 20. Clerima R. 4. De Havilland W. 3. Beckwith S. 16. Pettit C. 11. Mitchell-Lawson J. 17. Smith R. 10. Ferdinand K. 8. Nathaniel-George A. 14. Sho-Silva T.
Substitutes
1. Beadle J. (G) 3. Brown C. 25. Gorrin A. 17. Henry J. 18. McGuane M. 23. Murphy J. 16. Perkins S. 20. Rodrigues R. 14. Smyth O.	27. Adams C. 18. Christian Johnson 1. Jinadu D. (G) 24. Massey A. 19. Omilabu D. 7. Parsons H.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Maidenhead could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Oxford is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League One
31.10.23	Lincoln City - Oxford United	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	Oxford United - Wycombe Wanderers	2:2 ✺
24.10.23	Wigan Athletic - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Oxford United - Blackpool	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Oxford United - Bristol Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLTW
- Maidenhead United
English National League
28.10.23	Maidenhead United - Eastleigh	3:2 ✺
24.10.23	Aldershot Town - Maidenhead United	4:2 ✺
21.10.23	Barnet - Maidenhead United	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Weston-super-Mare - Maidenhead United	0:3 ✺
English National League
07.10.23	Maidenhead United - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League One
04.11.26	Oxford United - Reading	✺
31.10.26	Barnsley - Oxford United	✺
- Maidenhead United
English National League South
31.10.26	Maidenhead United - Dagenham & Redbridge	✺

Oxford United - Maidenhead United