The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 47.3%
Draw 28%
Cheltenham Town 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.7%
24.2%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.4%
25.4%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Port Vale's form might have worsened.
Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Vale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
43.7%
50%
6.2%
Port Vale - Cheltenham Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Amos B. (G) 6. Smith N. 4. Heneghan B. 5. Hall C. 27. Cover B. 8. Garrity B. (C) 18. Croasdale R. 24. Kyle John 26. Richards R. 11. Curtis R. 19. Tolaj L.
21. Day J. (G) 17. Bennett S. (C) 27. Payne L. 25. Stubbs S. 6. Bradbury T. 8. Young L. 4. Kinsella L. 15. Thomas J. 16. Colwill J. 22. Archer E. 12. Bowman R.
Substitutes
10. Chislett E. 2. Clark M. 32. Hackford A. 42. Hart S. 16. Lowe J. 17. Paton R. 1. Ripley C. (G)
18. Bakare I. 14. Dulson L. 1. Evans O. (G) 2. Jude-Boyd A. 10. Miller G. 34. Pett T. 9. Taylor M.
Coaches
Moore D.
Flynn M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Hall C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Bennett S. 🟨,
61', Garrity B. ↓, Chislett E. ↑,
62', Tolaj L. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
66', Bowman R. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,
66', Bennett S. ↓, Jude-Boyd A. ↑,
81', Smith N. ↓, Hart S. ↑,
85', Curtis R. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
86', Archer E. ↓, Dulson L. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 0.
Recent matches Port Vale is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Cheltenham is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Port Vale have a series of guest games.
Recently Cheltenham have a series of home games.
Port Vale will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:26 (average 1.5:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:11 (average 2:1.6).
United-kingdom
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Amos B. (G) 
Cover B. 
Curtis R. 
Tolaj L. 
Colwill J. 
Jude-Boyd A. 
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