Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 7

Date: 31 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)


	Lincoln City		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	2.2
	3.25	3.25	2.15
	3.25	3.25	2.25	Watch
	3.37	3.31	2.3
	3.2	3.25	2.2
	3.3	3.28	2.2	Watch
	3.15	3.25	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.47)	3.27 ↑ (3.18)	2.22 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
28.8%

Draw
28.8%

Oxford United
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

29%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

28.5%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lincoln City's form might have worsened.

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oxford United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lincoln City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oxford United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	26.3%	47.4%

Lincoln City - Oxford United Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Oxford will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jensen L. (G) 25. Mitchell A. 5. Jackson A. 15. O'Connor P. (C) 16. Burroughs J. 11. Hamilton E. 6. Erhahon E. 23. Roughan S. 2. Sorensen L. 29. Vale J. 14. Mandroiu D.	1. Beadle J. (G) 2. Long S. 5. Moore E. (C) 3. Brown C. 15. Stevens F. 18. McGuane M. 8. Brannagan C. 22. Leigh G. 20. Rodrigues R. 9. Harris M. 19. Goodrham T.
Substitutes
21. Adelakun H. 3. Brown J. 17. Duffy D. 22. Eyoma T. 27. Makama J. 8. Smith A. 12. Wright J. (G)	10. Bodin B. 13. Eastwood S. (G) 6. McEachran J. 7. Mills S. 23. Murphy J. 39. O'Donkor G. 4. Thorniley J.
Coaches
Shaw T.	Manning L.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 3.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Oxford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lincoln have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League One
28.10.23	Exeter City - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
24.10.23	Lincoln City - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Fleetwood Town - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Lincoln City - Burton Albion	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Lincoln City - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWWLW
- Oxford United
English League One
28.10.23	Oxford United - Wycombe Wanderers	2:2 ✺
24.10.23	Wigan Athletic - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Oxford United - Blackpool	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Oxford United - Bristol Rovers	2:1 ✺
03.10.23	Oxford United - Shrewsbury Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
04.03.23	Lincoln City - Oxford United	1:0
16.08.22	Oxford United - Lincoln City	1:2
08.01.22	Lincoln City - Oxford United	2:0
28.08.21	Oxford United - Lincoln City	3:1
26.03.21	Oxford United - Lincoln City	2:1
12.09.20	Lincoln City - Oxford United	2:0
26.12.19	Oxford United - Lincoln City	1:0

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