Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 17

Date: 3 June 2024, Monday


	Chelyabinsk		Murom

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	4.65
	1.48	4.05	5.73
	1.68	3.45	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.7)	3.75 ↑ (3.5)	4.93 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelyabinsk
57.8%

Draw
24%

Murom
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26.1%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

25.5%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Murom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murom than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Chelyabinsk - Murom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Zadiraka V. (G) 33. Gorbachik V. 37. Kosyanchuk R. 69. Kozlov D. 3. Kuryshev V. 11. Nosov A. 46. Pershin N. 5. Pomerko A. (C) 25. Pushkarev D. 12. Shiryaev M. 7. Vazitdinov R.	32. Prisyazhnenko N. (G) 23. Agureev D. 24. Azyavin I. 88. Chupin V. 27. Esin V. 67. Kozlov V. 10. Levin M. 4. Mikhaylenko D. 8. Samsonov A. 21. Yanov D. 19. Zapalatsky S. (C)
Substitutes
29. Bakhtiyarov A. 20. Biblik S. 68. Gerchikov L. 53. Kazaev Y. 10. Matskharashvili N. 63. Nikitenkov A. 72. Novikov O. (G) 27. Palkin V. 1. Veselov D. (G)	51. Balabanov D. (G) 47. Gabdullin I. 22. Kopylov D. 39. Murza A. 17. Pershin Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Gorbachik V. ⚽,
31', Yanov D. ↓, Gabdullin I. ↑,
31', Kuryshev V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kosyanchuk R. ↓, Kazaev Y. ↑,
46', Pershin N. ↓, Bakhtiyarov A. ↑,
51', Gorbachik V. ↓, Biblik S. ↑,
60', Agureev D. ↓, Murza A. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Samsonov A. ⚽,
72', Samsonov A. 🟨,
75', Azyavin I. 🟨,
77', Kozlov D. 🟨,
84', 🟨,
90+2', Gabdullin I. ↓, Kopylov D. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Murom could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chelyabinsk is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
30.05.24	Chelyabinsk - Krasnodar 2	1:2 ✺
26.05.24	Veles Moscow - Chelyabinsk	0:1 ✺
22.05.24	Chelyabinsk - Rotor	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Krasnodar 2 - Chelyabinsk	0:0 ✺
24.04.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Chelyabinsk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWTT
- FC Murom
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
30.05.24	Murom - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	4:3 ✺
26.05.24	Murom - Rodina Moscow 2	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Murom - Rotor	1:2 ✺
24.04.24	Krasnodar 2 - Murom	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Rodina Moscow 2 - Murom	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 WWLWL

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