Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Chemik Bydgoszcz		Gedania Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.50	2.80
	2.20	3.35	2.70
	1.94	3.61	3.11
	2	3.81	3.03	Watch
	1.92	3.55	3.05
	2.13	3.84	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.2)	3.61 ↑ (3.4)	2.93 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chemik Bydgoszcz
44.2%

Draw
25%

Gedania Gdańsk
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.4%

26.1%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

24.4%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chemik Bydgoszcz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Gedania Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chemik Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gedania Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Chemik Bydgoszcz - Gedania Gdańsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Bak K. ⚽,
27', Zagorski D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, Dowgiallo S. ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, Rysiewski D. (Penalty Awarded),
81', 2 - 2, Wedzelewski S. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 3, Niewiadomski M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 14th and 15th in the Relegation).

In recent outings, Chemik Bydgoszcz has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Gedania has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Gedania Gdansk	14	4	6	4	30:29	1	18
15	Chemik Bydgoszcz	14	2	6	6	20:29	-9	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chemik Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
03.10.26	Lipno Stęszew - Chemik Bydgoszcz	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - KKS Kalisz	1:1
12.09.26	Września - Chemik Bydgoszcz	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Bałtyk Koszalin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTTTT
- Gedania Gdańsk
Polish Division 3 - Group II
03.10.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Września	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Gedania Gdańsk	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Kotwica Kórnik	6:1 ✺
05.09.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Luzino	0:4 ✺
28.08.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Gedania Gdańsk	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chemik Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.10.26	Noteć Czarnków - Chemik Bydgoszcz	✺
- Gedania Gdańsk
Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.10.26	Gedania Gdańsk - KKS Kalisz	✺

Chemik Bydgoszcz - Gedania Gdańsk