Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 14

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Chemik Bydgoszcz		Unia Swarzędz

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.50	2.10
	2.85	3.4	2.08
	2.97	3.55	2.1
	2.95	3.64	2.09	Watch
	2.9	3.3	1.99
	2.93	3.6	2.04	Watch
	2.73	3.41	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.73)	3.49 ↑ (3.41)	2.07 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chemik Bydgoszcz
31.1%

Draw
25.7%

Unia Swarzędz
43.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

25.9%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

25.2%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chemik Bydgoszcz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Unia Swarzędz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chemik Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Chemik Bydgoszcz - Unia Swarzędz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Pietrzak M. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Rysiewski D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 1 - 2, Gozdzik G. ⚽,
79', 1 - 3, Grobelny M. ⚽,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 12th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Unia Swarzedz	14	5	3	6	24:21	3	18
15	Chemik Bydgoszcz	14	2	6	6	20:29	-9	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chemik Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.10.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Chemik Bydgoszcz	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Gedania Gdańsk	2:3 ✺
03.10.26	Lipno Stęszew - Chemik Bydgoszcz	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - KKS Kalisz	1:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWTT
- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.10.26	Unia Swarzędz - Września	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Unia Swarzędz	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Unia Swarzędz - Kotwica Kórnik	7:0 ✺
26.09.26	Flota Świnoujście - Unia Swarzędz	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Unia Swarzędz - Luzino	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chemik Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.10.26	Noteć Czarnków - Chemik Bydgoszcz	✺
- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.10.26	Unia Swarzędz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	✺

Chemik Bydgoszcz - Unia Swarzędz