Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 31

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday


	Unia Swarzędz		Września

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.55	3.35
	1.94	3.62	3.38
	1.86	3.84	3.38	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.4
	1.82	3.6	3.65	Watch
	2.11	3.41	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.11)	3.55 ↑ (3.41)	3.32 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Swarzędz
47.2%

Draw
25.5%

Września
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

26%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

24.7%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Swarzędz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unia Swarzędz's performance.

Września has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Września than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Unia Swarzędz - Września Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Bartkowski J. ⚽,
79', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 14).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Unia Swarzędz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Unia Swarzędz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Unia Swarzedz	11	4	1	6	20:19	1	13
17	Wrzesnia	11	1	5	5	11:23	-12	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
08.05.26	Noteć Czarnków - Unia Swarzędz	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Unia Swarzędz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Flota Świnoujście - Unia Swarzędz	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Unia Swarzędz - Cartusia Kartuzy	4:1 ✺
10.04.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WTTWW
- FC Września
Polish Division 3 - Group II
09.05.26	Września - Luzino	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Września - Elana Toruń	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Września	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Września - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Września	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.10.25	Września - Unia Swarzędz	3:1

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