Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park (Chengdu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Coupang Play
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Chengdu Rongcheng		Gangwon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.45	4.35	6.1	Watch
	1.47	4.5	6.55
	2.11	3.05	3.64	Watch
	1.48	4.54	6.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 (1.63)	4.11 ↑ (3.99)	5.72 ↑ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chengdu Rongcheng
59.5%

Draw
23.6%

Gangwon
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

23.9%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

23.8%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Gangwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Chengdu Rongcheng - Gangwon Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Gangwon will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chengdu Rongcheng: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gangwon (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Gangwon (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 2 - 50%). Gangwon (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jian Tao (G) 2. Hu H. 16. Yang Ming-Yang 26. Yuan Mincheng 28. Yang Shuai 11. Gurfinkel Y. 10. Romulo (C) 8. Chow T. 15. Yan Dinghao 58. Liao Rongxiang 9. Felipe Silva	1. Lee Gwang-Yeon (G) 14. Kim Dae-Woo 20. Jo Hyun-Tae 33. Hong Chul 27. Kim Do-Hyun 18. Kim Kang-Guk (C) 8. Kang Y. 73. Yun Il-Lok 26. Kim Min-Jun 90. Kim Sin-Jin 70. Goo Bon-Cheul
Substitutes
19. Dong Y. 39. Gan Chao 48. Li Moyu 32. Liu Dianzuo (G) 22. Li Y. 14. Ran Weifeng (G) 24. Tang Chuang 3. Tang Xin 17. Wang Dongsheng 59. Wang Ziteng 49. Xu Hong	36. Hwang Eun-Chong 37. Jeong Seung-Bin 15. Jin Jun-Seo 30. Jung In-jeung 35. Kim Tae-Hwan 21. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 77. Sung K. 10. Vitor Gabriel 32. Yoo Byung-Heon
Coaches
Seo Jung-Won	Chung Kyung-Ho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Hu H. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Chow T. ⚽, Yang Shuai (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Kim Min-Jun ↓, Vitor Gabriel ↑,
75', Liao Rongxiang ↓, Li Moyu ↑,
77', Goo Bon-Cheul ↓, Jung In-jeung ↑,
78', Kang Y. ↓, Hwang Eun-Chong ↑,
85', Hwang Eun-Chong 🟨,
86', Kim Dae-Woo ↓, Yoo Byung-Heon ↑,
86', Yun Il-Lok ↓, Jeong Seung-Bin ↑,
88', Yang Ming-Yang ↓, Dong Y. ↑,
90+3', Yan Dinghao ↓, Gan Chao ↑,
90+4', Kim Do-Hyun 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Chengdu Rongcheng has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gangwon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chengdu Rongcheng may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gangwon has had a series of home games.

In this match, Chengdu Rongcheng is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League
26.09.25	Zhejiang Professional - Chengdu Rongcheng	3:3 ✺
21.09.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
17.09.25	Ulsan HD - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
12.09.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Changchun Yatai	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shanghai Port	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLWW
- Gangwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
27.09.25	Gangwon - Daejeon Citizen	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Suwon - Gangwon	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.25	Gangwon - Shanghai Shenhua	2:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
13.09.25	Gangwon - FC Seoul	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLWWW

Upcoming Matches