Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Chuncheon Songam Stadium (Chuncheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Gangwon		Shanghai Shenhua

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.8	5.75
	1.5	4.45	5.3	Watch
	1.81	3.30	4.53	Watch
				Watch
	1.53	4.55	5.6	Watch
	1.59	3.95	5.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (2.38)	4.21 ↑ (3.72)	5.38 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gangwon
60%

Draw
22.4%

Shanghai Shenhua
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

25.5%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

25.4%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gangwon's performance.

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shanghai Shenhua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gangwon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanghai Shenhua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.5%	4.5%	0%

Gangwon - Shanghai Shenhua Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Gangwon will win (votes: 21 - 95.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gangwon: 86.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Shanghai Shenhua (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gangwon will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Shanghai Shenhua (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lee Gwang-Yeon (G) 20. Jo Hyun-Tae 24. Park H. 33. Hong Chul 10. Vitor Gabriel 14. Kim Dae-Woo 18. Kim Kang-Guk (C) 70. Goo Bon-Cheul 27. Kim Do-Hyun 96. Choe Byeong-Chan 73. Yun Il-Lok	30. Bao Yaxiong (G) 2. Wang Shilong 3. Jin Shunkai 5. Zhu Chenjie (C) 16. Yang Zexiang 17. Gao Tianyi 38. Wu Q. 10. Teixeira J. 34. Liu Chengyu 7. Xu Haoyang 43. Yang Haoyu
Substitutes
99. Kang Joon-Hyuck 8. Kang Y. 7. Kim Dae-Won 9. Kim Gun-Hee 26. Kim Min-Jun 13. Lee Gi-Hyuk 97. Lee You-Hyeon 42. Mo Jae-Hyeon 21. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 4. Seo Min-Woo 34. Song Jun-Seok 23. Tuci M.	27. Chan Shinichi 32. Fulangxisi Aidi 45. Han Jiawen 33. Wang Haijian 15. Wu Xi 1. Xue Qinghao (G) 20. Yu Hanchao 41. Zhou Zhengkai (G)
Coaches
Chung Kyung-Ho	Slutski L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Teixeira J. ⚽, Gao Tianyi (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Zhu Chenjie ↓, Fulangxisi Aidi ↑,
54', Choe Byeong-Chan ↓, Mo Jae-Hyeon ↑,
54', Yun Il-Lok ↓, Seo Min-Woo ↑,
54', Kim Kang-Guk ↓, Kim Dae-Won ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Hong Chul ⚽, Goo Bon-Cheul (A),
63', 2 - 1, Goo Bon-Cheul ⚽,
70', Gao Tianyi ↓, Wang Haijian ↑,
70', Teixeira J. ↓, Yu Hanchao ↑,
72', Vitor Gabriel ↓, Kim Gun-Hee ↑,
78', Yu Hanchao 🟨,
79', Liu Chengyu ↓, Han Jiawen ↑,
83', Fulangxisi Aidi 🟨,
85', Goo Bon-Cheul ↓, Kang Y. ↑,

Preview

Gangwon is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shanghai Shenhua's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Shanghai Shenhua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gangwon is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Gangwon - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.87%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
13.09.25	Gangwon - FC Seoul	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
27.08.25	Gangwon - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:2 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
23.08.25	Gwangju - Gangwon	0:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
20.08.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gangwon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWLWT
- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
12.09.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Shandong Taishan	3:3 ✺
31.08.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Shanghai Shenhua	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Shanghai Shenhua	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Zhejiang Professional - Shanghai Shenhua	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Shanghai Port	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLWTL

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