Match Info

K League 1 - Round 14

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Chuncheon Songam Stadium (Chuncheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
South-korea	Coupang Play, ENA Sports
World	K League TV


	Gangwon		Daejeon Citizen

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.1	Watch
				Watch
	2.28	3	3.1
	2.41	3.19	3.44
	2.38	2.92	3.32	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1	Watch
	2.33	3.21	3.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.13)	3.05 ↓ (3.22)	3.21 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gangwon
40.2%

Draw
30.6%

Daejeon Citizen
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

29.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Daejeon Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Citizen than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	55.6%	22.2%

Gangwon - Daejeon Citizen Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Gangwon will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Daejeon Citizen will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Daejeon Citizen (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Daejeon Citizen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 99. Kang Joon-Hyuck 23. Tuci M. 13. Lee Gi-Hyuk 34. Song Jun-Seok 10. Mo Jae-Hyeon 97. Lee You-Hyeon (C) 4. Seo Min-Woo 7. Kim Dae-Won 96. Choe Byeong-Chan 11. Goh Young-Jun	1. Lee Chang-Geun (G) 33. Kim Moon-Hwan 3. Kim Min-Duk 98. Krivotsyuk A. (C) 2. Park K. 6. Kang Yun-Sung 30. Kim Bong-Soo 27. Jeong Jae-Hee 19. Seo Jin-Su 17. Ludwigson G. 9. Diogo Oliveira
Substitutes
77. Hleihel A. 14. Kang Y. 27. Kim Do-Hyun 6. Kim Dong-Hyun 9. Kim Gun-Hee 21. Kim Jung-Hoon (G) 8. Lee Seung-Won 24. Park H. 47. Shin Min-Ha	77. Joao Victor 10. Joo Min-Kyu 70. Kim Hyeon-Ug 20. Lee H. 25. Lee Jun-Seo (G) 16. Lee Myung-Jae 5. Lim Jong-Eun 8. Victor Bobsin 99. Yu Kang-Hyun
Coaches
Chung Kyung-Ho	Hwang Sun-Hong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Jeong Jae-Hee ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
60', Diogo Oliveira ↓, Yu Kang-Hyun ↑,
67', Goh Young-Jun ↓, Kim Gun-Hee ↑,
67', Choe Byeong-Chan ↓, Hleihel A. ↑,
77', Park K. ↓, Lee Myung-Jae ↑,
77', Kim Moon-Hwan ↓, Victor Bobsin ↑,
83', Lee Gi-Hyuk 🟨,
87', 1 - 0, Hleihel A. ⚽, Mo Jae-Hyeon (A),
89', 2 - 0, Kim Dae-Won ⚽, Kim Gun-Hee (A),
89', Ludwigson G. ↓, Joo Min-Kyu ↑,
90+1', Kim Dae-Won ↓, Shin Min-Ha ↑,
90+5', Mo Jae-Hyeon ↓, Kim Do-Hyun ↑,
90+5', Seo Min-Woo ↓, Kim Dong-Hyun ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gangwon won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gangwon might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gangwon won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gangwon won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Gangwon	31	11	13	7	38:28	10	46
6	Daejeon	31	11	10	10	48:38	10	43

Last Results with these Odds

Daejeon Citizen - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 27.15%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
09.05.26	Gwangju - Gangwon	0:0 ✺
05.05.26	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Incheon United - Gangwon	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Gangwon - FC Seoul	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gangwon	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTWLW
- Daejeon Citizen
South Korean K-League 1
09.05.26	Daejeon Citizen - Pohang Steelers	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Daejeon Citizen - Incheon United	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen	0:5 ✺
26.04.26	Ulsan HD - Daejeon Citizen	1:4 ✺
22.04.26	Daejeon Citizen - Jeju	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
12.04.26	Daejeon Citizen - Gangwon	0:2
22.11.25	Daejeon Citizen - Gangwon	1:1
27.09.25	Gangwon - Daejeon Citizen	0:0
19.07.25	Gangwon - Daejeon Citizen	2:2
27.04.25	Daejeon Citizen - Gangwon	1:0
13.07.24	Daejeon Citizen - Gangwon	1:1
11.05.24	Gangwon - Daejeon Citizen	3:3

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