Match Info

Super League - Round 12

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Olympic Sports Center Stadium (Tianjin)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger		Chengdu Rongcheng

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	2.01	Watch
	3.55	3.4	1.98	Watch
	3.86	3.45	2.09
	3.84	3.52	1.93	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.05
	3.65	3.46	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↓ (5.55)	3.41 ↓ (4.22)	2.01 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
25.7%

Draw
27.5%

Chengdu Rongcheng
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

22.1%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

22.1%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's performance.

Chengdu Rongcheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chengdu Rongcheng might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tianjin Jinmen Tiger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chengdu Rongcheng could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Chengdu Rongcheng Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Yan Bingliang (G) 29. Ba Dun 5. Grau J. 18. Cordoba A. 6. Wang Xianjun 17. Wu Xinghan 24. Chen Zhexuan 30. Wang Qiuming (C) 8. Xadas 14. Huang Jiahui 9. Quiles A.	32. Liu Dianzuo (G) 17. Wang Dongsheng 22. Li Y. 28. Sorokin E. 11. Wellington Silva 16. Yang Ming-Yang 23. Liao Lisheng 2. Hu H. 10. Romulo 27. Abduweli Behram 7. Wei Shihao (C)
Substitutes
7. Guilherme Schettine 28. Guo Hao 20. Ji Shengpan 27. Li S. 38. Li S. 19. Liu J. 22. Li Yongjia 21. Qi Yuxi (G) 40. Shi Yan 31. Sun Ming-Him 3. Wang Zhenghao	19. Dong Y. 39. Gan Chao 18. Han Pengfei 4. He Yiran 29. Iminqari M. 1. Jian Tao (G) 3. Jojo A. C. 58. Liao Rongxiang 48. Li Moyu 25. Muzepper Murahmetjan 15. Ran Weifeng (G) 20. Wang Ziming
Coaches
Yu Genwei	Aloisi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Wang Xianjun ⚽, Cordoba A. (A),
11', Huang Jiahui 🟨,
16', 1 - 1, Wei Shihao ⚽,
22', Li Y. 🟨,
32', Li Y. ↓, Han Pengfei ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wang Dongsheng ↓, He Yiran ↑,
57', 1 - 2, Wei Shihao ⚽, Wellington Silva (A),
60', Chen Zhexuan ↓, Guo Hao ↑,
60', Wu Xinghan ↓, Sun Ming-Him ↑,
64', Wang Qiuming ↓, Guilherme Schettine ↑,
69', Grau J. 🟨,
79', Huang Jiahui ↓, Wang Zhenghao ↑,
79', Abduweli Behram ↓, Wang Ziming ↑,
79', Sun Ming-Him 🟨,
79', Ba Dun ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
88', Romulo 🟨,
88', Liao Lisheng ↓, Gan Chao ↑,
88', Romulo ↓, Dong Y. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 2.

In recent matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chengdu Rongcheng is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Chengdu Rongcheng is the team to beat.

There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Guilherme Schettine (Injury) Yang Fan (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Chengdu Rongcheng: Felipe Silva (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	26	15	7	4	51:30	21	52
13	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	26	9	8	9	36:32	4	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chinese Super League
10.05.26	Zhejiang Professional - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:1 ✺
05.05.26	Qingdao West Coast - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Wuhan Three Towns	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Beijing Guoan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:4 ✺
21.04.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shandong Taishan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TTTWL
- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League
09.05.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Henan Songshan Longmen	3:0 ✺
05.05.26	Liaoning Tieren - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Zhejiang Professional	4:0 ✺
21.04.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Yunnan Yukun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
18.07.25	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:1
02.03.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:2
12.07.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:1
06.04.24	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:3
29.09.23	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:2
08.06.23	Chengdu Rongcheng - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:0
08.07.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:1

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