Match Info

Super League - Round 12

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium (Jinan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Spain	Gol Play


	Shandong Taishan		Chongqing Tongliang Long

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.1	5.75	Watch
	1.52	4.15	5.5	Watch
	1.58	4.1	5.56
	1.55	4.24	5.33	Watch
	1.53	3.9	5
	1.58	4.18	5.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)	4.11 ↓ (4.15)	5.48 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shandong Taishan
60.3%

Draw
22.7%

Chongqing Tongliang Long
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22.5%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

22.2%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shandong Taishan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Chongqing Tongliang Long has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Shandong Taishan - Chongqing Tongliang Long Predictions

Users Predictions: Shandong Taishan will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Wang Dalei (C) 7. Xie Wenneng 3. Peng Xiao 33. Gao Zhunyi 11. Liu Yang 38. Memet Imran 8. Guilherme Madruga 29. Chen Pu 9. Cryzan 19. Zeca 10. Qazaishvili V.	1. Yao Haoyang (G) 6. Jin Pengxiang 33. Lucao 3. Zhang Yingkai 38. Ruan Qilong 16. Zhang Zhixiong 15. Chen Chunxin 26. He Xiaoqiang 9. Cimpanu G. 7. Xiang Yuwang (C) 11. Dimata L.
Substitutes
37. Chen Zeshi 24. Duan Liuyu 35. Huang Zhengyu 21. Liu Binbin 36. Liu Qiwei (G) 17. Merkies R. 42. Peng Y. 15. Shi Songchen 6. Wang Tong 2. Yang Ruiqi 1. Yu Jinyong (G) 5. Zheng Zheng	30. Bai Yutao 19. Du Yuezheng 5. Huang X. 21. Liu J. 24. Liu Mingshi 22. Ma Yujun 17. Ng Yu-Hei 28. Wang Haowen 37. Wei Suowei 27. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 25. Yerzat Yerjet (G)
Coaches
Su Maozhen	Liu Jianye

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', Zhang Yingkai 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Guilherme Madruga ⚽, Cryzan (A),
38', Zhang Zhixiong 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Guilherme Madruga ⚽, Cryzan (A),
45+2', Peng Xiao 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Memet Imran ↓, Chen Zeshi ↑,
46', Ruan Qilong ↓, Liu Mingshi ↑,
46', Gao Zhunyi 🟨,
59', Jin Pengxiang ↓, Ng Yu-Hei ↑,
59', Xiang Yuwang ↓, Du Yuezheng ↑,
68', Zhang Zhixiong ↓, Wu Yongqiang ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Dimata L. ⚽,
71', Zeca ↓, Merkies R. ↑,
71', Guilherme Madruga ↓, Huang Zhengyu ↑,
81', Dimata L. ↓, Bai Yutao ↑,
89', Chen Pu ↓, Duan Liuyu ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Xie Wenneng ⚽, Qazaishvili V. (A),
90+3', Peng Xiao ↓, Shi Songchen ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).

Shandong Taishan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chongqing has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Shandong Taishan is the team to beat.

There will not play in Shandong Taishan: Alvaro P. (Yellow Cards) Li Y. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Chongqing: He Xiaoqiang (Inactive) Li Zhenquan (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shandong Taishan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Shandong Taishan	26	13	4	9	46:43	3	37
10	Chongqing Tonglianglong	26	7	10	9	27:32	-5	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shandong Taishan
Chinese Super League
10.05.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Shandong Taishan	1:2 ✺
05.05.26	Shandong Taishan - Shanghai Shenhua	4:1 ✺
01.05.26	Shandong Taishan - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Shandong Taishan	4:1 ✺
21.04.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shandong Taishan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTLW
- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Super League
09.05.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:2 ✺
05.05.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Dalian Young Boy - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Shanghai Port - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese FA Cup
22.06.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shandong Taishan	3:6

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