Match Info

K League 2 - Round 33

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Cheonan Stadium (Cheonan)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Cheonan City		Busan I Park

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.6	Watch
				Watch
	4.55	3.7	1.65	Watch
	5.25	3.9	1.66
	3.48	3.74	1.94	Watch
	5.29	4.02	1.58	Watch
	3.55	3.45	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (3.55)	3.8 ↑ (3.45)	1.72 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheonan City
20.7%

Draw
24.6%

Busan I Park
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

26.1%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

26%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheonan City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Busan I Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Busan I Park's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheonan City than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Busan I Park, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	0%	93.7%

Cheonan City - Busan I Park Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Busan I Park will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Busan I Park will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Heo Ja-Woong (G) 24. Lee Sang-myung 35. Kim Seong-Ju 4. Kang Y. 26. Kim Y. 6. Lee Jong-Sung (C) 8. Lee Kwang-Jin 13. Kim Seo-jin 17. Myung Jun-Jae 18. Lee Jeong-Hyeop 7. Lee Sang-Jun	1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 77. Jang Ho-Ik (C) 20. Cho Wi-Je 24. Hong Uk-Hyeon 23. Park Chang-Woo 6. Lee Dong-Su 7. Xavier 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 10. Fessin 32. Yun Min-Ho 11. Villero P.
Substitutes
83. Bruno Paraiba 20. Ha Jae-min 21. Je J. (G) 14. Koo J. 11. Lee Ji-Hoon 37. Park Joon-kang 29. Yoo Eun-sang	29. Choi Gi-Yun 9. Gonzalo Fornari 4. Jeong Ho-Keun 37. Kim Dong-Wook 88. Kim Se-Hoon 21. Park Dae-Han (G) 47. Son Hwi
Coaches
Sung-Yong Jo	Cho S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Kim Y. 🟨,
26', Kim Seo-jin 🟨,
34', Lee Sang-Jun 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kim Y. ↓, Koo J. ↑,
46', Myung Jun-Jae ↓, Park Joon-kang ↑,
55', Yun Min-Ho ↓, Gonzalo Fornari ↑,
56', Lee Jeong-Hyeop ↓, Bruno Paraiba ↑,
65', Jeon Seung-Jin 🟨,
71', Kim Seo-jin ↓, Yoo Eun-sang ↑,
72', Lee Dong-Su ↓, Son Hwi ↑,
72', Fessin ↓, Choi Gi-Yun ↑,
78', Lee Jong-Sung 🟨,
87', Son Hwi 🟨,
87', Bruno Paraiba 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheonan City won 1.

In recent matches, Cheonan City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Busan I Park is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Busan I Park could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cheonan City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cheonan City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.5:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Busan I Park - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 48.47%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheonan City FC
South Korean K-League 2
05.10.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Cheonan City	4:1 ✺
27.09.25	Cheongju - Cheonan City	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Cheonan City - Hwaseong	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Cheonan City - Incheon United	3:4 ✺
07.09.25	Gimpo - Cheonan City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWTLW
- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
05.10.25	Busan I Park - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Hwaseong - Busan I Park	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Busan I Park - Jeonnam Dragons	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Ansan Greeners - Busan I Park	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Busan I Park - Suwon Bluewings	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
17.08.25	Cheonan City - Busan I Park	0:1
16.03.25	Busan I Park - Cheonan City	2:1
02.11.24	Cheonan City - Busan I Park	2:3
22.05.24	Busan I Park - Cheonan City	2:3
10.04.24	Cheonan City - Busan I Park	2:4
07.10.23	Busan I Park - Cheonan City	0:0
05.08.23	Busan I Park - Cheonan City	1:0

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